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2023-05-07 04:05:00 ET Summary Whenever the dominant investment narrative shifts, asset correlations tend to change as well. Conditions shifted abruptly with the Silicon Valley Bank failure. Suddenly, inflation seemed less of a threat and investor fears pivoted back towards recess...
2023-05-07 03:46:00 ET Summary In March 2023, the fall of Silicon Valley Bank shocked investors not only because it was unforeseen, but also because of the speed with which it unfolded. While we can differentiate between good and bad banks and some of these differences are driven ...
2023-05-06 02:00:00 ET Summary There is a thread running between the three crises being felt in the US right now. There are a number of indicators that we can track to help assess where we are and where we are likely to get to. The genesis of bank stresses in part reflects the...
2023-05-05 21:30:00 ET Summary Jay Powell couldn’t say outright that the Fed is done with raising rates, but he performed an exceptionally clear pantomime of saying exactly that during the post-FOMC press conference on Wednesday. Powell did sound reasonably upbeat about the...
2023-05-05 13:20:00 ET Summary I do not think our banking crisis is over. Much of this centers on the Fed raising rates too far and too fast, which is causing all kinds of havoc, especially our community and regional banks. All the members of the KBW Bank Index, including some of ...
2023-05-04 15:47:00 ET Summary Why U.S. bank earnings suggest a modest recession? Potential impact of regional bank failures on the broader markets. When it comes to market uncertainty, is reality actually better than perception? The latest U.S. earnings seas...
2023-05-04 12:00:00 ET Summary What are bond markets telling us about future Fed policy? How does the Fed navigate the numerous crosscurrents in the financial markets and economy? What's the outlook on the US dollar? The U.S. Federal Reserve delivers another ...
2023-05-04 07:05:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve's latest meeting occurred on Wednesday and, as expected, the Fed raised the benchmark Fed funds rate by 25 bps. Given the recent banking stress, many had speculated the Fed would explicitly signal a pause, but it instead shrewdly ...
2023-05-03 23:55:00 ET Summary The collapse of small banks is not surprising. But what’s happening today is accelerating the process. The basic gist of this acceleration is multi-faceted: the government has implicitly supported small banks; and explicitly supported big bank...
2023-05-03 22:03:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 25bp and signalled the threshold for justifying future rate increases is now higher than it was. With lending conditions rapidly tightening in the wake of recent bank stresses, we think this will mark ...
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2024-05-12 06:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 17:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 21:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...