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The result of the unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has been a rapid return to unemployment rates that are higher, though only about 2%, than before the COVID pandemic. US GDP has recovered all the ground lost in 2020 and is now at a record high. Monetary policy remains highl...
The latest IHS Markit US Sector PMI revealed that six of the seven broad sectors tracked by the surveys reported higher output in November. Despite some of the supply chain problems having eased in November, the extent to which production growth had been constrained is consistent with...
The market is starting to come under pressure, and that makes me generally less bullish on the big U.S. banks. Banking is a cyclical sector, and has been performing well as the economy recovers and expectations for rate hikes got more hawkish. However, these expectations are being...
The problem with market speculation is that it starts to tempt the prudent investor into reckless behavior. What has always been prudent - owning a low-cost index fund - has now become a more speculative investment because of the degree of speculation in the market. The S&P 500 ha...
Investors in 2022 should prepare themselves for lower rates of S&P 500 EPS and revenue growth. It’s a “return-to-normal” market. Financial sector EPS growth is negative since reserve releases are probably expected to be much lower in 2022. Energy and Basic...
Supply chain bottlenecks are hitting sectors including labor, microchips and housing. Some of these disruptions will be around for the longer term, and investors should think about what they mean for portfolios. ETFs can help provide diversified, low-cost access to targeted sector...
The major US equity indices moved in concert, but the big disappointment so far this year has been small caps. Energy is clearly where the action is this year. After spending years at the bottom of the tables, Natural Gas, Gasoline, and Crude Oil now lead the pack. For furth...
"Following several quarters of weak loan demand, we’re particularly encouraged by the loan growth we reported during the quarter, which, excluding PPP loans, was 5.6% on an annualized basis. We also reported continued strong deposit growth at an annualized pace of 9.3%. Credit outcomes...
We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....
Risk appetite lifts from one-year low amid expectations of improving near-term market. Sentiment remains subdued by uncertain policy outlooks and political climate. Financials see the strongest favor followed by energy stocks. Tech sees the biggest outlook downgrade. The broad...
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2024-05-12 06:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 17:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 21:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...