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2023-04-16 09:30:00 ET Summary The Fed saves the system, but there are side-effects. The Japanification of parts of the U.S. banking industry and the creation of zombie banks. I prefer the large U.S. banks. There will be asymmetric risk-reward opportunities in the regional...
2023-04-16 04:16:42 ET Summary March gave us quite the wild ride in the market, volatility ramped up, but by the end of the month, almost all seemed forgotten. The market rallied toward the end of the month, sending all three of the major indices positive for the month. As usu...
2023-04-15 11:39:23 ET Summary The large bank sector and the regional bank sector (priced via KBWB and KBWR) have depreciated by similar levels year-to-date. Yet, it appears that deposits are flowing to larger banks because of a 'flight to safety' in the banking sector; JPM's late...
2023-04-15 03:35:00 ET Summary One of the first things many people did after SVB hit the news was to pull their money out of their local mom-and-pop banks and put it into one of the banking giants. On April 14, we got some hard data about this trend as the largest banks kicked off...
2023-04-14 12:51:00 ET Summary Even after a string of financial failures that sent depositors running for the hills, it’s a good time to be a giant U.S. bank. More troublesome than the level of deposits is the cost of those that stay, which is also rising. While it ...
2023-04-14 01:00:00 ET Summary Although the worst of the crisis may very well be over, you’re going to see this affect the economy through tighter lending standards. Monetary policy notoriously has long and variable lags. Dividend growers usually outperform during the e...
2023-04-12 10:32:51 ET Summary The Federal Reserve releases a weekly report on the balance sheet of all commercial banks in the United States. The report has been very helpful at analyzing trends since the failure of SVB and SBNY. The financial ratios generated out of the repo...
2023-04-12 01:55:00 ET Summary Banks’ stock and bond prices were battered by the crisis that overtook US regional banks Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse. We believe that the underlying causes of these failures were idiosyncr...
2023-04-12 01:01:00 ET Summary A dollar doesn’t feel 'active', but a dollar is worth a dollar precisely because it’s redeemable on demand every second of every day. The less active you are in the cash market, the more you pay for someone else to actively manage your ...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
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2024-05-22 06:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 06:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 18:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...