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Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...
Summary The pain in bond-land is palpable. The IGSB ETF is now more oversold than either the 2008 or 2020 lows. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.12% today, despite Powell’s rhetoric from last night. In this post from Tuesday night, the relative attra...
Summary This year’s sharp rise in treasury yields creates an attractive opportunity in short-term bonds heading into 2023 as the Fed slows the pace of rate hikes. We favor transitioning from floating-rate notes to fixed-rate notes going into 2023 now that interest rates hav...
Summary Today’s markets are undoubtedly volatile, as investors face uncertain central bank policy and evolving market consensus outlooks for economic growth. We expect monetary policy to remain restrictive across major economies, despite slowing growth and rising recession ...
Supply chain disruptions that were the root cause of inflation in 2021 are slowly being resolved in spots. Should reshoring and the localization of supply chains follow, the cost could result in higher prices for the long term. As rate hiking cycles unfold, they are often met with...
We're seeing declining asset prices from bond to equities, and in some cases, real assets because of higher inflation. We are seeing early signs that inflation is starting to moderate. Equity market is currently pricing in the probability of a mild recession. For further det...
Yield-curve flattening and the credit sell-off have created value opportunities. Although off their wides, short duration corporate bonds still look compelling, in our view. We think the underperformance in financials is due to technical factors that should abate in the near term ...
If China were to continue to pursue a Zero Covid policy amidst rising case counts, supply chains originating in Asia could get shut down again. On the food front, wheat is particularly vulnerable to a prolonged conflict, which has been reflected in the performance of wheat futures. ...
Investors in short duration corporate bonds can capture 80% of the yield of the corporate Index while taking less than 25% of the interest rate risk. Generic two-year and three-year Treasury notes have risen 176 basis points year-to-date, compared to 127bps and 91bps, respectively, fo...
Technology is advancing at a rapid pace, exerting downward pressure on prices. But will this deflationary bias be enough to offset the impact of a new, higher-inflation regime? History suggests that won’t necessarily be the case. It’s fair to say that the US was at t...
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2024-05-12 09:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-03 08:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...