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2023-04-02 04:50:00 ET Summary We’ve talked a lot over the years about the shape of the yield curve, how that is a market signal, how that is telling us something about the future, about potential asset market returns. What’s our thoughts? US debt is considered the r...
2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-30 13:15:00 ET Summary The bond market saw the US Treasury close the quarter with unprecedented volatility, spurred by the banking crises that began on March 9th. The volatility since the Federal Reserve stepped in and insured Silicon Valley Bank depositors on March 10th...
2023-03-29 03:27:00 ET Summary We believe credit fundamentals should weaken in the unfolding environment, but to a manageable extent, given their strong starting point. Recent results show companies meeting lowered expectations with a slowing macro environment weighing on forward ...
2023-03-29 01:35:00 ET Summary Investors are asking if the tide is still going out, whether credit seizures in the economy and markets are getting worse, or if the situation is improving. A comparison of the pace of investment grade debt issuance in 2022 and 2023 reveals a flatlin...
2023-03-28 21:52:00 ET Summary If the recent crisis of confidence was created by bigger concerns about inflation and sharp moves in rates, the focus now is more on Alpha, the issuers in credit markets. Another drag on bank risk comes from the US regional banks. Significant vol...
2023-03-22 06:28:00 ET Summary Recent uncertainty, instigated by the issues seen across the financial sector, has led to a change in investment flows seen across exchange traded funds. A change in investment flows can be seen over the month of March as equity market volatility has...
2023-03-21 14:05:00 ET Summary Increased uncertainty in the global banking system and violent swings in rates markets have led to weakness in credit. Statistically, spreads are looking cheap, but we argue that risks remain high and market direction is still uncertain. While th...
2023-03-16 05:05:00 ET Summary Over the past week, investors have had to digest U.S. banking failures and the threatened collapse of a major European bank. This stress has finally underscored the tensions between global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation and growing c...
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2024-07-17 23:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-17 19:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-29 06:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...