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Given the weight of the evidence from the past decade of market performance, it makes sense that stocks should perform better if the Fed pivots from monetary tightening. The stock market continues to perform when the Fed is lifting interest rates. What is clear is that the time to...
In the housing market, activity levels have come down as rates - mortgage rates in particular - have moved higher and changed the dynamic around affordability. As rates have moved, investment-grade corporates are a longer-duration asset class that has really borne the brunt of higher ...
It's hard to ignore that global investment-grade corporate yields are currently the highest they've been since the global financial crisis. In addition to overall corporate well-being, business risk-taking is notably subdued. Balance sheets are healthy, free cash flow is expanding...
Now, most recently, the Russian war with Ukraine and its shock to energy and commodity markets, at a time when inflation was already running hot, has added greatly to investor concerns. While retirement planners and long-term liability managers often need to take on duration to hedge ...
We don’t expect the slowdown in economies to result in a deep global recession. A repeat of the big increases in bond yields we saw in the first half of the year is unlikely. In this environment, higher quality credit is more attractive. Despite increasing pressures on prof...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
We highlight the top three behavioral biases to avoid in the new, volatile market regime - and give tips on how investors can try to overcome them. Stocks rallied and yields fell last week after markets concluded the Fed’s pace of rate hikes will slow. We are less sanguine and ...
Bonds went south in 2022 - all asset classes were negative, and investors received little benefit from international or non-US allocations (including EMs). As of June 30, according to Bloomberg data, EM credits were the worst-performing bond asset class YTD, returning -17.14%. The US ...
In the second quarter, we've seen double-digit negative returns across the fixed income landscape. For corporate bonds on the investment-grade side of things, we've seen spreads tick 160. A lot of what's going on right now is just the aftermath of a pandemic that's disrupted the h...
Market views of Fed rate hikes have swung sharply. We see more volatility ahead as long as central banks think they can curb inflation without crushing growth. Yields spiked before easing after the ECB raised rates by 0.5% last week. We expect it to pause hikes before the Fed as the e...
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2024-07-12 22:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 11:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...