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2023-12-11 15:21:25 ET Summary Both nominal and real rates are down across the curve. The catch is that the curve now embeds some very aggressive Fed easing assumptions. Buying long-duration TIPS doesn’t offer a particularly attractive risk/reward here. Treasu...
2023-12-09 09:15:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 199,000 new payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report and Federal Open Market Committee decision on interest rates will be closely watched. ...
2023-12-08 12:45:23 ET Summary The Employment Situation Report for November 2023 was published, providing important labor market data from both the Establishment and Household Surveys. The data indicate labor markets remained very tight and may have tightened further -- contrary t...
2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...
2023-12-06 12:15:00 ET Summary We are likely at the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle, but don’t anticipate rate cuts until the second half of 2024. The shape of the yield curve and the trajectory of growth will be key drivers of returns. Investors piled into cash in 202...
2023-12-04 09:21:19 ET PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund ( NYSEARCA: LTPZ ) declares $0.17/share monthly dividend. Payable Dec. 6; for shareholders of record Dec. 4; ex-div Dec. 1. For further details see: PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Tra...
2023-12-01 11:23:32 ET Summary The two biggest bond ETFs, BND and AGG, are in my opinion the worst bond ETFs as they lack the precision I want from bonds. Unlike with stocks, I believe it makes little sense to simply accept the market average duration if that's not the duration yo...
2023-11-30 15:15:30 ET Summary Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, data for October 2023 shows deceleration in both nominal and real PCE. Real PCE growth has been near the historical median, but durable goods and recreation services have been weak. Personal consumption ...
2023-11-29 23:05:20 ET Summary I bonds were one of the most popular investments of the past two years and with good reason. As inflation skyrocketed, so did I bond yields, leading these investments to outperform most other asset classes at almost no risk. As inflation plummets...
2023-11-28 01:30:00 ET Summary We turn more positive on short- to medium-term developed market (DM) sovereign bonds in our latest strategic update. We trim DM stocks to neutral. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields steadied after their drop from 16-year highs. We think yields will stay v...
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2024-07-12 22:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-13 02:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 23:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...