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2023-11-02 04:47:00 ET Summary Looking at the 24-month rolling correlation between the total return of the S&P 500 Index, including dividends, and the 10-year Treasury bond, including coupons, reveals significant volatility. During periods when inflation was moderate, correlat...
2023-11-01 02:25:00 ET Summary Despite an okay earnings season thus far, stocks are bearing the brunt of softening investor sentiment and corporate uncertainty. This week, 2,357 companies are expected to report for Q3, 170 from the S&P 500. Potential Surprises this week: C...
2023-10-31 23:35:00 ET Summary The most notable of these was in S&P 500 futures. Whereas this past summer saw positioning shift to the most net short levels in over a decade. The small-cap Russell 2000 still remains deep in net short territory, although there was some improvem...
2023-10-31 03:00:00 ET Summary Are markets experiencing 'irrational exuberance?' Why the U.S. consumer may be at the end of their spending rope. Has the Fed lost its influence over the U.S. economy? Transcript Greg Bonnell: From geopolitical risk to drama...
2023-10-30 20:01:00 ET Summary The average time from a yield curve inversion (long interest rates below short) to the onset of recession has been ten months historically. Yield curve re-steepening has preceded the onset of past recessions with a lag of zero to nine months. Sin...
2023-10-30 19:40:00 ET Summary The problems we face today, from wars to inflation to dysfunctional politics, are serious but they are no more serious than those we’ve faced in the past. Stocks have performed poorly but the underlying driver of stock prices – earnings...
2023-10-30 15:20:00 ET Summary S&P 500 fell 2.5% during the trading week ending on Friday, 27 October 2023. The index closed the week at 4117.37. The index is just a little over a 1.5% decline in value away from crossing the threshold where that scenario becomes more than an a...
2023-10-30 12:20:00 ET Summary The great frustration about this selloff is that the market is moving so slowly. While rates are dramatically higher, which should send stocks lower, the government is shoving money into the system in immense numbers, which keeps the market from plun...
2023-10-27 21:15:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 forward 4-quarter estimate slipped to $238.46 from last week’s $238.95, despite a good week of tech sector earnings. The P/E ratio fell to 17.3x this week from last week’s 17.7x and 9/30/23’s 18.4x. The S&...
2023-10-25 23:25:00 ET Summary The Halloween Strategy is a market-timing strategy based upon investing in stocks from Oct. 31 to May 1. The S&P 500 declined 4.8% in September of this year, which, according to S&P Global, marked the 53rd time since 1928 that the S&P was...
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2024-06-13 04:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 13:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-14 02:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...