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Given the poor performance of stock and bond ETFs/funds so far this year, many will wonder what, if anything, one should do. There are four possible choices but which is best? While no one can predict the future, one can look at past returns to get an idea of how to proceed. ...
Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...
We believe the conflict in Ukraine may turn out to be less critical for equity markets than the upcoming turn we anticipate in the economic growth cycle. In the near term, we expect the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) to continue to recover from its March trough. We expect the dis...
The nature of the economic cycle, originally due to the COVID pandemic, has been amplified. The ongoing lockdowns and the military conflict in Europe have prompted us to revise our inflation projections further. The dynamic shifting of corporate winners and losers is a constant an...
Value stocks may benefit in environments marked by higher inflation, higher rates, and a continued economic reopening. Quality stocks are a natural ballast to value. Investing in companies with stronger pricing power and healthy balance sheets may be prudent. Minimum Volatility ca...
The valuation spread tends to be very wide during a crisis and/or recessions, followed by narrowing of the spread. The extreme widening of the valuation spread during market dislocations that occur during or near the start of value cycles suggests that fear may act as a catalyst and p...
Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
Inflation expectations have kept the Federal Reserve center stage as they commenced their interest rate rising cycle in March. The war in Ukraine and Omicron’s spread in China impacted inflation and supply chains differently, but both delay supply chain normalization. Regar...
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...
Large-cap value stocks have characteristics that could make them compelling in the current environment and beyond. Inflation moved higher in the wake of the pandemic as societies reopened and consumers accelerated their spending, supported by government payouts and massive central ban...
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2024-07-21 07:14:00 ET The anticipated 10-for-1 split of Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) has officially arrived. Investors can now buy a full share for around $171 instead of $1,710, although there are now 10 times more shares. Stock splits can affect price-weighted indexes like the Dow J...
2024-07-03 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-13 05:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...