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The US has seen a rebound in manufacturing and industrial output, coupled with a decent performance from the consumer sector and net trade and inventories being less of a drag. These factors put together support our view of 3%+ GDP growth in 3Q. However, the housing market, a weak...
Stocks have seen an unabated rally in August. But there are two big events on Wednesday that could change all of that. The VIX option expiration and Fed minutes could provide crucial turning points. Stocks aren't the only things that have risen recently. Yields and the d...
The rapid ascent in stock prices over the past month has us in an extremely overbought condition. This can work against the Fed's goal of tempering demand and result in more aggressive monetary policy actions. I see a peak in short-term rates at 3%, but if the bond market intimate...
Long-term investors need to have a strategy they can stick with no matter what happens, a strategy that keeps them on an even keel. Investing is hard and determining your risk tolerance is far from an exact science. There are a lot of people these days who seem to want the market ...
We see company earnings deteriorating amid a rotation in consumer spending and a sputtering restart. This is partly why we remain cautious on stocks. Stocks jumped on hopes of the Fed pausing hikes soon as inflation edges lower. We think that’s premature and see inflation settl...
Paradoxically, the prediction business can be very profitable for some - and not because their predictions are correct. Being out at the wrong time - it's hard to get back in. Observations on beating the market. Since the June 16 bottom, we've enjoyed a really nice mov...
A lower-than-expected rate of inflation ignites animal spirits. The S&P 500 has retraced 50% of its bear-market decline. It does not look like the June low will be retested, giving birth to a new bull market. Last week I asserted that this bear-market bounce in the s...
Inflation is becoming ingrained. That’s bad news for us and bad news for the Federal Reserve. The notion that we were going to have a head-scratcher of a rally is playing out just like we said. Now would be the perfect time to come out with a surprise rate hike. The market ...
Market participants that are expecting a Fed "pivot" might be in for an unpleasant surprise. We could easily see some data that shows resurgent inflation. We will hear the Fed minutes, which could have a negative impact to the rally. Another Prediction (Again) I know...
This past week's performance of the S&P 500 Index, up 3.25% and up in four of the last five weeks, has resulted in the index price moving through important technical levels. A near-term consolidation or pullback would not be at all surprising and a healthy market occurrence. I...
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iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Multifactor ETF Company Name:
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S. -listed ETFs on August 25, 2022. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on August 22, 2022. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to sha...