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Summary The housing/construction sector is dragging strongly on economic growth. Right now, only the single-family market is dragging on growth. The downturn in multi-family and residential remodeling construction is still on the way. Leading indicators of housing/construction have ...
Summary Mortgage REITs have surged off their October lows and shown alpha in that time against the S&P 500. One small player reports Q4 results soon, and the market expects a small earnings-related swing. With shares near fair value, the chart suggests bulls and bears are at a t...
Summary The composite and national indices all fell month-over-month (m/m) for the fifth month in a row, but the year-over-year (y/y) change in prices is still running at +6% or more. Looking at different parts of the country, cities in the West fell the most m/m with declines of more t...
Summary The key feature of bubble symmetry is the entire bubble retraces in roughly the same time frame as it took to soar to absurd heights. At the peak and for some time after, bubbles are viewed as the natural order of markets and so they should continue expanding forever. But th...
Summary Has the heyday for office real estate passed? How a recession may impact commercial real estate. Why Asia is an outlier when it comes to returning to the office. Pandemic restrictions have mostly been lifted, but the rush to return to the office may not h...
Summary The surge in mortgage rates has resulted in a steep drop in home buyer demand while supply of homes for sales is on a gradual rise. As a result, home prices are now falling in every major city. With house price-to-incomes ratios remaining stretched by historical standards, f...
Summary Similar shares at different valuations are the basis for alpha. The research is so hard, it requires adding dividends or looking at a chart. Who cares about the difference between 3.7% and 14.26% to 17.6%? We do! Get ready for charts, images, and tables because t...
Summary Despite delivering the strongest earnings growth of any property sector in 2022, Self-Storage REITs have stumbled of late amid a post-pandemic demand normalization and pressure from elevated supply growth. Storage demand is driven largely by housing activity – specificall...
Summary Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of the U.S. new home market was $24.24 billion in December 2022. Since August 2022, the Census Bureau has been reporting substantial reductions in the number of sales with each revision. Based on recent pa...
Summary Despite lingering recession concerns and recent travel disruptions, Hotel REITs have been among the better-performing sectors over the past year, buoyed by steady post-pandemic operating improvement fueling long-awaited dividend resumptions. Several years of pent-up leisure dema...
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2024-05-02 22:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 06:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...