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Pretend for a minute that it's 2019 and you're Brazil. Or maybe Turkey, your choice. You've got a lot of infrastructure to build if you want to keep your people happy, and to fund those projects you'll need to borrow a lot of money. That's not a problem, because borrowing is easy. The whol...
While the full impact of COVID-19 on the global economy is still unknowable, we are gaining perspective on its economic impact, and thus its investment implications. Captured below are perspectives from each of our investment teams. We are stress-testing companies using a common set of refe...
A number of factors lead us to think the outlook for emerging markets debt ((EMD)) is positive. Last year's performance was clearly above average (primarily driven by falling U.S. Treasury yields, rather than EMD risk premia compression). This year's overall balance of factors looks marginal...
Introduction Monday was an enlightening day with the S&P 500 falling 7.6%, real estate falling 4% to 5%, corporate bonds falling 0.8% to 2%, and gold was not much protection. Tuesday was a choppy day with the S&P 500 rising 4.9%. As I conclude this article, Wednesday stock futures ap...
A version of this material originally appeared in the Financial Times on 26 February 2020. The debt burdens carried by emerging markets have become a regular feature of reports on threats to financial stability. The total debt for 30 large EM countries reached $72.5tn in 2019, a 168 percen...
Markets began reacting to the potential economic impact of the coronavirus during the week of February 18, and we could see further volatility in the coming weeks - but we believe changes in emerging markets debt (EMD) spreads present a clear buying opportunity. Below we discuss our outlook an...
This article was originally released a month ago - we continue to find value in these sectors and funds. Many CEF commentators, us included, follow the unsavory journalistic practice of "if it bleeds, it leads", at least with respect to distribution cuts, focusing on particularly sharp sla...
By Justin Leverenz , Team Leader and Senior Portfolio Manager The teens proved to be a difficult decade for emerging markets. That setback came after EM stocks delivered strong returns in the first decade of the 2000s, as the MSCI Emerging Markets Index outperformed the S&P 500 by...
By Shamaila Khan In a banner year for capital markets, emerging market debt ((EMD)) posted healthy double-digit returns. Global central bank easing, among other supportive factors, helped drive a broad-based rally across nearly all emerging market ((EM)) countries. Can this strength contin...
With the risk of recession fading, JPMorgan Asset Management shifts focus to emerging-market bonds and currencies, with government bonds from Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Peru among its favorites. More news on: iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF, Stone Harbor Emerging Ma...
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2024-06-23 07:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 09:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...