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In the midst of the unprecedented COVID shock, many EM central banks quickly shifted to extraordinarily easy monetary policy. For speculative-grade EM sovereign bonds, the worries are more structural in nature. There are plenty of global "push" factors to encourage investors to mo...
After an extremely challenging 2020, we expect a strong global economic recovery in 2021. Historically, EM crises have been driven by unsustainable debt dynamics, currency crises, and/or financial sector disruptions. This is not the case today. Valuations in the EM hard currency s...
Climate change has made the world a riskier place. Financial risks created by climate change are felt more acutely by developing economies, especially those that are not adequately prepared. As countries seek a sustainable path of recovery from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic...
Emerging market bonds rallied spectacularly in the last two months of 2020. Despite talks of tapering, the Federal Reserve remains committed to its new policy regime shift of average inflation targeting, and liquidity remains ample. The medium-term story for India is even more imp...
Our study showed that a COVID-19 vaccine would be the single most important factor in giving people confidence to resume normal spending habits. School reopenings should provide a further impulse to the recovery. Fiscal and monetary policy have already provided enormous stimulus, ...
Stocks in emerging markets continued to lead the major asset classes in January as the top monthly performer. Emerging markets shares have been up for four straight months, pushing this slice of the world's equities to a wide one-year lead of nearly 28%. US stocks are posting the ...
The cyclical rebound from 2020's stop-start pattern is likely to be vigorous and highly synchronized globally in 2021. Emerging markets are typically a levered play on global manufacturing growth. Following the initial lockdown, manufacturing growth rebounded strongly and remained res...
Investors appear almost universally to be pricing for an early-cycle mix of low interest rates and ongoing support from both monetary and fiscal policy, combined with the release of pent-up demand from consumers and manufacturers. Short-term stumbling blocks are not confined to the on...
A long history of extremely low yields in Japan suggests that low yields do not necessarily map to low returns. Amid the dramatic sell-off in risk assets in March 2020 as the global pandemic took hold, and again in September 2020 when equity markets pulled back sharply, government bon...
Emerging Markets remain one of the best positioned areas of the market from a risk-return perspective. EM debt and EM equity are likely gaining traction with investors from the falling dollar and large variance in valuation between them and the US. Within EM debt, the analysis and...
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2024-06-23 07:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 09:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...