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The inflation story in emerging markets remains highly differentiated, but the pandemic caused a sharp decline that was felt across all regions. Food inflation has been rising across major emerging markets. However, several local factors impact food inflation, and the causes of higher...
Since last November’s vaccine news, financial markets have been "hanging ten" on a swell of cyclical, value and small-cap stocks, and rising Treasury yields. Crosswinds started to grow in the second quarter, however, as economic and inflation data ran hot: rising yields stalled...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
Surging economies bolstered government revenues, fundamentals, and creditworthiness. A decade ago, emerging equity indices reflected industries typically associated with less developed economies - heavily reliant on natural resources. Growing scrutiny of environmental, social, and...
The major equity indices had their worst week since early January - mostly on inflation concerns and a hawkish FOMC that signaled an increase in rates may come sooner than expected. On Friday, stocks took another leg lower after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that he expec...
In 2021, energy is where the money is going. Money is flowing out of Momentum stocks this year, and much of it is going into Value names. Commodities are having a strong showing compared to last year. For further details see: If You Want To Know Where The Market Action I...
While we believe overall market conditions should remain favorable for emerging markets (EM) debt, the pandemic created idiosyncratic risks and diverging prospects across EMs. The EM debt universe consists of three main types of debt: 1) sovereign debt; 2) quasi-sovereign debt; and 3)...
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to push higher in June, based on the annualized Sharpe ratio for a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. GMI’s 10-year SR increased to 0.84, the highest in 18 months. GMI is an unmanaged, market-value...
Investment uncertainty is focused on the nature of the current spike in inflation, which the Fed argues is transitory, though a growing number of people do not buy this narrative. Historically, the Fed has never been able to head off any longer-lasting inflation uptrends without a recessi...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...
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2024-06-23 07:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 09:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...