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In this article I will walk you through the commonly used but wrong way to think about volatility decay. We'll then walk through an example of volatility decay with realistic numbers. Afterwards, we'll build a simple mathematical model to calculate volatility decay from first prin...
Mark Twain is once quoted as saying: October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February. Source: Goodreads Looking at history and the seasonal...
There is an old saying that goes, "You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink." Source: Heartland.org But then again, sometimes you can't even lead the horse because of just plain stubbornness, and an outright resistance to any kind of change in viewpoint. These days...
Well, as we have been saying for a while now, it appeared highly unlikely that the economic collapse that ensued with the COVD-19 virus outbreak would quickly snap back along with a resumption of the 11-year bull market cycle. That idea was quickly dismissed with yesterday's speech by Federa...
Times sure have changed over the past few months, but human nature has not. It remains both constant and very predictable. For many, the stock market has recently become somewhat of a fascination. It not only helps to pass the time, while people are curtailing their social activities, bu...
There is a often repeated story on Wall Street that in the weeks and months ahead of the infamous stock market crash of 1929, Joe Kennedy was fortunate enough to liquidate a major portion of his equity holdings after hearing a number of shoe shine boys giving stock tips. The story typifies...
Nowhere, other than the stock market, are people more inclined to fantasize. We fantasize about finding the next ten-bagger, about realizing wealth beyond our wildest dreams, and about fulfilling all of our ego-based expectations. This is normal human behavior, and quite common, especially...
In our last article , Part 1 of 2, we discussed the tremendous strains that many small businesses are experiencing in light of the recent mandatory shutdowns across various states. Specifically, we cited three surveys that were recently conducted with these small business owners, to better ...
You may remember, when Bill Clinton was running for re-election in 1992 against George H.W. Bush, there was a campaign slogan that was developed to get people to focus on what was most important in deciding who to vote for. That slogan was "It's the economy, stupid". Today, as incumbent D...
A tug-of-war between Wall Street bulls and bears continues to rage on in the course of most stock market debates. Source: The Insurance Journal On one side we have the bull case that the economy will snap back quickly, leading to a "V"-shaped economic recovery, while the bear case relies...
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2024-03-30 01:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-27 00:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-05 09:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...