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The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
If higher prices, which have now broadened, are allowed to persist, they can become sticky. A wage-price spiral, where rising wages beget rising prices, which cause further pressure on wages, certainly could allow inflation to be a challenge for longer than expected. In general, tradi...
Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation - previously thought to be cooling - had touched a new 40-year high. Substantial rate hikes are possible as the Fed remains focused on stabilizing prices; however, in the process, a recession may become unavoidable. W...
Recently, ZIM's shares have tumbled in the light of global economic slowdown. This will affect the company's profit margins, no doubt. When and how much remains to be seen. However, the company is trading at nearly its forward earnings point and very close to its cash per share. ...
In an uncertain macroeconomic environment, the certainty of future earnings and growth will be key: infrastructure and utilities significantly outperform other equities on this measure. With a base case of slowing growth and higher inflation, our playbook for infrastructure portfolios...
We have seen crypto disruption expand across the financial system and expect this to continue. Inflation pressures may linger through 2022 and pose a risk of spiraling into a more persistent economic factor. Historically in these market environments, real assets—including n...
If my assumption is correct, the COVID-19 crisis pushed the global markets into a 6+ month Summer, Autumn, and Winter seasonal cycle. My belief is the COVID-19 crisis created a full Kondratieff Seasonal rotation in the global markets. As we explore the Kondratieff Seasonal cycles ...
All signs point towards an imminent withdrawal of central bank stimulus, globally. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is headed for one of the largest fiscal cliffs ever. Global growth is slowing even before massive stimulus withdrawal. For further details see: Prepare For Turb...
Global manufacturing remained beset by unprecedented supply issues in July, which constrained output and drove prices higher. The analysis of survey responses suggests that the number of companies reporting lower production due to staff or materials shortages is running at around five...
Surging U.S. inflation has outpaced inflation in Europe, China and elsewhere, as the rate hit a 13-year high of 5.4% in June and July. Rising U.S. inflation may be the result of divergent employment benefits or a consumer spending boom fueled by the government’s fiscal response...
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2024-06-17 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-28 17:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-18 15:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...