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With June now officially in the books, we can take a look at our long-term monthly indicators to see what they are telling us now. Does the recent breakout to "all-time highs" mean the bull market is finally back? Or, is this breakout doomed to failure as the previous breakouts have been? ...
Why do we care? The general description of the business cycle is that the economy expands until everyone who can be - or wishes to be - employed is. At which point, wages start to rise significantly. But we also, at the same time, get inflation, meaning that the Federal Reserve will raise in...
I must admit that it is somewhat hard to believe that a month has passed since May's disappointing jobs report and therefore the Bureau of Labor Statistics has released yet another report , this time for the month of June. In this case, we saw almost a complete reversal from last month's di...
First, a decline in manufacturing, and then a slump in service industries, now a broad-spectrum inversion of the yield curve hitting its most critical metric this week, unemployment finally starting to rise again, a one-year relentless housing decline across most of the nation and the world, c...
The market is making new all-time highs. Is this the final "Melt-Up" I've been anticipating? Or is it something more sustainable? Bull Case versus Bear Case The bulls have once again taken control of the direction of the market. Three new highs last week. We have to respect the determina...
Despite a stronger-than-expected June gain of 191K private nonfarm payrolls (+191K vs. +150K), private sector jobs growth - when measured over multi-month periods - has slowed from a December 2018 high of 2.3% to now as low as 1%. That's the weakest growth in over 8 years, but it's nothing to ...
Wall Street's fervent hopes and prayers for rate-cut ammo were not fulfilled. Wall Street, clamoring for three to four rate cuts this year, was hoping and praying fervently for a lousy jobs report that would "force" the Fed to cut rates. Those hopes and prayers were not fulfilled when the ...
It's never about a single payroll report. Even still, there's something significant in how the "good" ones aren't measuring up the way they used to. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics ((BLS)), the US economy gained 224k payrolls in the month of June 2019. Well above consensus, the hea...
By Robert Hughes The labor market rebounded in June. U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 224,000 jobs in June after an increase of just 72,000 new jobs in May. The modest May gain was revised down 3,000 from an initial estimate of 75,000 jobs. Combining the last two months with an 8,000 downward r...
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2024-05-25 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-15 20:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-06 13:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...