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2023-05-02 06:01:01 ET The yields on the shortest end of the Treasury curve spiked sharply Tuesday on concern that the debt ceiling X date is less than a month away. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Monday the U.S. could run out of extraordinary measures to pay the government's bill...
2023-05-01 13:10:00 ET Summary It appears the recession is right around the corner. As the recession begins, the yield curves will begin to steepen. The 2s10s have started but the 3m10s has not budged. The market can stay irrational for a long time, but in addition, this is th...
2023-05-01 09:45:00 ET Summary We see bond yields staying high in the new macro regime - that means income is back as a portfolio driver. We stay nimble and granular across fixed income. U.S. stocks rallied from a four-week low last week after tech earnings beat. Yields fell even ...
2023-04-25 11:41:00 ET Summary The month of April has seen the S&P 500 move within less than a 100-point range during regular sessions, adding only a few points more if one were to include overnight futures trading. It is absurd for the Fed to be hiking interest rates next wee...
2023-04-24 11:50:00 ET Summary The last two weeks have been the least volatile period for stocks in over two years. The market has been rather boring and stuck in a smaller and smaller range. Money has been flowing into money market funds and out of banks, as investors are satisfi...
2023-04-24 03:54:07 ET And unprecedented dislocation between short Treasury maturities continued Monday as traders moved cash away from the 3-month bill likely to be most impacted by a debt ceiling fight in Washington. The spread between the 3-month Treasury yield and the 1-month yield ...
2023-04-21 16:28:00 ET Summary Yesterday’s release of the Leading Economic Index from the Conference Board appears to settle the matter in favor of recession, but real-time analysis isn’t as clear-cut as this indicator suggests. The consultancy forecasts “econ...
2023-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary Some of the recent economic data is beginning to show increasing evidence that activity does appear to be slowing. With respect to the UST 3mo/10yr measure, the inversion has still been gathering steam. While the 3-Month T-bill has been tethered ...
2023-04-20 01:44:00 ET Summary The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While 10Y yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to re-steepen the curves. We think cuts will come before the year ends, b...
2023-04-18 10:51:00 ET Summary The vast “cash hoard of 2023” has the bullish media salivating about what it means for the future of equities. That cash hoard in money market funds now exceeds $5.2 trillion. With net exposure to equities by professional and retail inv...
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2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-14 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...