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2023-10-11 01:05:00 ET Summary Over the past 12 months industrial production has been flat and the ISM Manufacturing Report has been warning of imminent recession. Despite the warnings from reliable leading indicators, the dominant view now is that there will be a “soft lan...
2023-10-10 12:45:00 ET Summary In September, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee paused rates at 5.25% for the second month running, based on softer inflation figures for the month. However, inflation generally, and in the UK in particular, has proven stickier t...
2023-10-10 01:03:00 ET Summary It’s hard to blame the bulls for their good cheer of late. Spiking inflation no longer dominates the headlines even as the U.S. economy has rebounded toward its long-term trend. Meanwhile, the labor market has started to ease (perhaps reducing...
2023-10-09 23:21:00 ET Summary For the past 30 years, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. S&P 500 options volatility appears to alternate between high and low volatility regimes. Implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exce...
2023-10-09 11:55:00 ET Summary The employment report on Friday seemed like a good one. The unemployment rate was unchanged as the economy added 336,000 jobs in September. The S&P 500 traded down over 38 points. The 10-year Treasury note yield spiked higher by 17 basis points, ...
2023-10-05 04:03:00 ET Summary The U.S. Treasury yield curve is currently inverted, with yields on short-term bonds higher than yields on longer-term bonds. Some expect this to unwind with short-term bond yields falling faster than longer-term yields. Amid these expectations, thos...
2023-10-02 06:00:00 ET Summary Even if we have a recession soon, we don't have to have another bear market. Cash investments like T-bills are paying well right now but historically, today's rates are just a little above average. Both the 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar r...
2023-10-02 05:07:00 ET Summary Anytime during the trading day in the last few weeks, when the 10-year Treasury yield moved to multi-year highs, the dollar strengthened and stocks got wobbly. In early September ’23, the JOLTS report put a temporary bid under the Treasury mar...
2023-09-30 04:15:00 ET Summary Rising rates have led to negative year-to-date returns for the US Aggregate benchmark index, but anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could support bond investors. The historically inverted yield curve may result in shorter maturities outperforming longe...
2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...
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2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-14 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...