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2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-08 09:15:00 ET Summary The current yield curve inversion has turned out to be the longest and deepest inversion in 50 years, lasting 18 months and several times hitting negative 100 basis points. The Fed's actions were in response to runaway inflation that turned out to be...
2024-03-06 20:20:00 ET Summary In 2024, like in recent years, the Federal Reserve policy rate trajectory remains top of mind for investors. While we have already seen a few emerging market central banks start to reduce interest rates, many of the developed markets have only just f...
2024-03-04 03:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-15 23:50:00 ET Summary The Fed’s close monitoring and well-signaled tapering of QT should prevent disruptions to the short-term funding markets - despite converging risks. Declining cash reserves across the US financial system have some market observers predicting a...
2024-02-14 20:16:00 ET Summary There is a belief that whatever happens to the Fed Funds Rate will be passed along to the Treasury yield curve in a similar fashion. A maturity structure that is not too far removed from the Fed Funds Rate will be anchored and directly linked to tren...
2024-02-11 17:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-07 03:18:00 ET Summary The recent congressional continuing resolutions have slightly dampened the extremes, but most of the extraordinary spread is still in the marketplace. In my opinion, the benefit of higher interest rates flows to the buyer of a tax-free municipal bond...
2024-02-06 07:05:00 ET Summary The US economy is ok - credit spreads are still quite low, liquidity is still abundant, the dollar is still strong, inflation is still declining, and there are only a few indicators that suggest caution. Owning short-term risk-free assets today has b...
2024-02-01 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
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2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-14 16:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...