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The Federal Reserve is widely expected to trim interest rates today, and the prospect of low and possibly lower inflation in the months ahead is a key factor. The Treasury market's implied inflation forecast is hinting at the possibility that pricing pressure may be set for a new downturn. T...
Raising resilience is one of our three investment themes for the remainder of 2019 and beyond. The ability of a portfolio to withstand a variety of adverse conditions is crucial, particularly in a time of elevated macro uncertainty. Bonds' role as ballast in portfolios is still meaningful ev...
The short answer is no. So why does the WSJ suggest otherwise? "One reason the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates this week is that inflation is running below its 2% target. New research shows why getting it higher has proved so difficult: many of the prices consumers pa...
Transcript Drivers of Gold in 2019 We've seen a significant shift in Fed [U.S. Federal Reserve] policies over the course of 2019. Remember, back in December the Fed was raising rates. This year, they have become more dovish, and at the last FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeti...
Hooray! We did it folks. We raised the debt ceiling again and averted a self imposed default on US government debt. And to celebrate this joyous occasion I wanted to write my 3,589th article explaining some of the never-ending misconceptions about government debt and borrowing. And to do that ...
I've talked quite a bit in these pages about the extent to which 2019 has been a year defined by an epochal central bank pivot, which has reinvigorated the global hunt for yield to the benefit of risk assets. There was a time not so long ago (perhaps five years ago) when the vast majority o...
The Fed is in the blackout window ahead of the July FOMC, and mercifully so. As we saw on Thursday , the market is exceptionally sensitive to communications around the likely scope of the forthcoming rate cut (i.e., "Will it be 25 bp or 50?"). John Williams's fumbled effort to extoll the vi...
It was far from the equivalent of Mario Draghi's muscular "whatever it takes" comment in 2012, when the European Central Bank president famously outlined his resolve to save the euro. Yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell were considerably more nuanced, in part because ...
The combination of American trade protectionism and the end of a failing credit expansion is leading into a global economic downturn, and potentially a systemic crisis. Meanwhile, investors still believe more extreme monetary policies will stabilise economies and that the ultra-low interest ra...
By Noelle Corum, Associate Portfolio Manager ; James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management ; Rob Waldner, CFA, Chief Strategist and Head of Multi-Sector Portfolio Management In May, we wrote about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) evolving policymaking framework as i...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...