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Looking at a select set of recent economic releases suggests the US economy is humming along, providing room for the Federal Reserve to let current monetary policy glide forward on autopilot. But a closer look at key trends in the Treasury market and the monetary base - along with the economic...
By Jim Iuorio For several months, Fed watchers have engaged in a debate about whether or not the Fed's repo market operations are equal to quantitative easing. It's a fun discussion, but in the end, I don't think it matters. What does matter is that the Fed appears willing to ac...
By Scott DiMaggio and Eric Winograd TRANSCRIPT: This video is the first in a series on bond investing late in the cycle. Scott DiMaggio : Eric, the Fed balance sheet is back in focus in financial markets for the past couple of months. The Fed has expanded the size of the balance ...
The inflation story in Canada and the United States has not been particularly exciting for some time, and I am not in a position to argue that this will change anytime soon. I just want to update a chart that I think is extremely useful when discussing the alleged external constraint on floati...
The U.S. Federal Reserve held rates steady amid a strong economy, but sees potential global risks including the viral outbreak in China. Anthony Okolie talks with James Marple, Senior Economist, TD Bank Group. Original Read more ...
Bonds had a good year in 2019. The Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate US Bond Index returned 8.72%, its best performance in 17 years. Source: Bloomberg The 8.72% gain exceeded the average annual returns for the past 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-year periods of 3.05%, 3.75%, 5.03% and 5.91%, respectively....
The extended rally in corporate bond prices, as well as subsequent decline in yields, was widely blamed on "momentum chasing" just a few short weeks ago. That has now changed with the motive behind the latest bond price rally being one of safety-seeking behavior on the part of scared investors...
Back in the days of QE, I noticed a pattern that during QEs, the expected future date of the first rate hike would remain relatively level, but when QEs were stopped, the expected future date of the first rate hike would move ahead in time. In other words, if the first rate hike was expected...
By James J. Clarke How do we think about a world of ultra-low interest rates as equity investors? To us, interest rates are much more than determining what discount rate to use in a valuation model. At extreme levels, the rate environment introduces distortions that impact management behav...
So much winning! Global equity markets are pushing higher, and many are at all-time highs. Chinese equities and the yuan are perking up. The threat of tariff wars is receding. Industrial commodity prices are turning up. Housing starts in the US are soaring. Consumer confidence is high. Financi...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...