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Inflation is going to remain relatively well-bounded. We will see a cyclical uptick in inflation this year. But from a longer-term perspective, there isn’t a meaningful risk of inflation breaking out significantly to the upside. Fiscal and monetary support are clearly two aspec...
When the economy overheats, central banks try to calm it down; when it's depressed, they try to prop it up, as they are doing at the moment. We are experiencing the most aggressive intervention in the economy and financial markets by the Fed and the US Treasury, which is why stocks ar...
Economist Ed Yardeni pointed out last week that the money supply has exploded and "M2 is off the charts." Essentially, when this much money is sloshing around, it tends to get spent, especially as uncertainty comes to an end and the economic outlook seems brighter. The Labor Depar...
Washington appears to be back at the center of the market’s attention as Congress moves to pass yet another fiscal package. For the moment, inflation is in check (prices as measured by the CPI rose about 1.5% year over year in January, a touch lower than the pre-COVID rate), bu...
In our view, broad, vocal support for Draghi indicates how far Europe's consensus has swung in favor of fiscal intervention. In the U.S., after losing more than 200,000 nonfarm jobs in December, less than 50,000 were recouped in January. Our base case remains an orderly normalizat...
Central banking traditionally operated as a judicious and conservative institution, with an overarching mandate focused on promoting monetary and financial stability. The world is now in the throes of history's greatest experiment in central bank doctrine and operations. The probl...
After a dramatic year of volatility, the U.S. stock market ended 2020 at record highs. Can this momentum continue this year? ESG investments clearly outperformed in 2020. 2021 should be a year of much better cash flow for companies. For further details see: A Stock Picke...
Joe Foster, VanEck Gold Strategy Portfolio Manager, joins us to weigh in on inflation risks, his 2021 outlook and more. Since August, gold has been consolidating in a range between $1,800 and $2,000 an ounce. If second-half economic growth isn't as rosy as a lot of people are expe...
The spread between nominal less inflation-indexed Treasury rates continues to rise - an increase that many analysts cite as a key indicator for the revival in reflation sentiment. The key driver for this reflationary trend is primarily due to an ongoing slide in the real Treasury yiel...
The global economic recovery is currently underway. This is a very good environment for active investors. We certainly don't want blind exposure to beta. Charting the portfolio implications for the year ahead across a range of asset classes, including rates, credit and emerging ma...
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2024-08-02 17:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-03 19:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...