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2023-08-21 11:15:00 ET Summary Stocks are now down from their late July peak by about 5%. This pullback/correction, like the bear market last year, was driven by higher rates, specifically real rates. An accelerating economy and rising earnings sound like good news because tha...
2023-08-17 04:54:00 ET Summary Any equity market pullback will likely be brief due to the short and shallow nature of the expected U.S. recession, and the subsequent swift recovery will demand an agile and proactive response from investors. A substantial amount of corporate bonds ...
2023-08-16 01:30:00 ET Summary One can evaluate small-cap returns as measured by the Russell 2000 Index or small-cap returns measured by the S&P 600 Index. S&P's profitability criteria seems to be an important difference in the S&P 600 Index's outperformance. Over ...
2023-07-12 00:30:00 ET Summary Small-caps have caught a bid over the last few days with the Russell 2,000 ETF (IWM) rallying more than 3% since last Thursday’s close. While large-cap indices have recently traded to 52-week highs, small-caps are still well below 2023 highs m...
2023-06-14 07:31:00 ET Summary This year’s equity market rally had been driven by a select few names, dubbed the "Magnificent Seven," overshadowing other industries. June brings a ‘breadth’ of fresh air with small caps and mid-size companies finally joining th...
2023-06-13 05:30:00 ET Summary The annual Russell Reconstitution has caused many small-cap stocks to surge, and institutional buying pressure is anticipated to filter down from the eight largest NASDAQ companies that have been hogging most of the money. Rising crude oil output in ...
2023-04-20 13:09:00 ET Summary We see that the 10s/2s has been inverted since roughly July 2022, while the 10s/3mo (historically the more accurate indicator of recessions) inverted in October. The consensus is that 2023 will witness a decline in corporate earnings as economic acti...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
2023-03-18 02:14:07 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Several important coincident indicators - tax withholding and temporary staf...
2023-03-18 01:20:49 ET Summary The recent weakness in the banking system demonstrates just how fragile it is. We have yet to see the full impact of higher interest rates in the economy, but earnings have already started to decline. The market's earnings expectations for the S&...
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2024-06-17 11:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-07 16:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...