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I would not underestimate how quickly the treasury market can reprice the path of monetary policy and I expect yields to move higher as the Fed undershoots market expectations for a 50bp-75bp lower Federal Funds rate. A July rate cut of at least 25 basis points is completely priced in at 100% ...
Gold vs. Other Assets The prices of the metals went up +$15 and +$0.23. We will be brief this week, as Keith just got off a 17-hour flight from Perth to London. Stocks continue their march upwards. And hence the gold price seems stalled - or is it? It may seem like gold goes up when st...
In a recent article , I issued a reminder that the performance of Wall Street does not always reflect the realities of Main Street. For instance, as the ISM Manufacturing Index, a measure of industrial America's confidence in the economy, falters to a critical 50-ish level, financial condit...
This is a special contribution article by Prof. Grant Henning based on his published research on the BLM technical theory . The model, his trailing stop-loss approach, and comments are expressly based on his own proprietary methodology and forecasts in the references below. The Bounce/Lag...
As the market keeps running joyously up and slumping anxiously down on speculation of Fed interest rate actions, I thought somebody should issue a reminder: Wall Street is not Main Street . There may have been a day when one could simply look at the performance of the stock market to gauge ...
Originally published July 5, 2019 Gold has dipped back below $1,400 this morning, as investors believe the strong employment report reduces the odds of a rate cut this year. I believe they are weighing the significance of this one highly-manicured preliminary data point too heavily and the...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on July 28, 2019. [This post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] Gold tends to perform well relative to commodities in general when inflation expectations are falling. The evidence is presented below in chart form. The fir...
Investment case After a stellar performance in June, we expect palladium prices to continue to move higher in the near term because the palladium market remains extremely tight (judging by its forward curve) and that ETF outflows are not enough to ease the prevailing tightness and substitu...
Precious metals have received a lift recently, but that hasn’t been true for platinum ( PPLT ). If we compare platinum to gold ( GLD ) and palladium ( PALL ), we can see that platinum is lagging way behind. For example, a troy ounce of gold is now roughly equal to 1.7 ounces of platin...
Investments vs. Money Last week the price of gold went up another $11, but the price of silver dropped 4 cents. The gold-silver ratio hit another new high, up another point, though down from Tuesday's high water mark. This obviously was not the week that wage-earners increased their mone...
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2024-06-23 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 05:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-23 17:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...