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Summary U.S. imports of goods produced in China collapsed further in November 2022, continuing the plunge that began in September. The continuing collapse of U.S. imports from China has pulled the combined value of goods traded between the U.S. and China below a counterfactual trajector...
Summary While the average investor continues to pour money into the equity markets like there’s no tomorrow (aka, a reckoning for the everything bubble), corporate insiders are notably doing just the opposite. In 2021, equity inflows hit a new, all-time record. 2022 saw the third...
Summary Despite what pundits say, inflation will persist in 2023. China and emerging markets are set to rebound in the coming year. No U.S. economic recession will be seen (surprise, surprise!). U.S. equity markets will climb, helped by massive short covering. ...
Summary US Large Cap stocks are still in a short-term downtrend but the long-term uptrend is intact. International Large Cap stocks are in a short-term uptrend versus US Large Cap. The trend has been driven by the falling dollar. US Large Cap value is in a short-term uptrend versus ...
Summary We already know about housing’s woes, but manufacturing, and now service-related gauges, are in contractionary territory. However, the latest jobs report continued to reveal that a rather solid labor market setting still exists. So, what if the U.S. economy manages th...
Summary After enduring one of the worst years on record across asset classes, investors should find more cause for optimism in 2023, even as the global economy faces challenges. Inflation is likely to moderate, and risks to the inflation outlook appear more balanced than they did severa...
Summary Inflation rates may be coming down for now, but it may not stay that way. Commodity prices are rising as the dollar weakens and China re-opens. If the trend continues, expect inflation to either rise or get stuck. It turns out that the weaker dollar is indeed helpi...
Summary The NFIB released its Small Business Optimism Index for December early this morning. The report showed optimism has begun to fade after a modest rebound in the past few months. The index fell back below 90.0 to the lowest level since the June of 89.5. The 2.1-point drop in t...
Summary 22Q4 earnings are forecasted at $447.07 billion (-2.2% y/y, -3.6% q/q) while revenue is forecasted at $3,697.7 billion (+4.1% y/y, -0.7% q/q). This will mark the first negative earnings growth rate since 2020 Q3 while revenue growth will be the lowest since 2020 Q4. Analysts...
Summary Like any one factor, forex risk’s influence on the US stock market is dynamic. The dollar-stocks dance isn’t perfect. Indeed, sometimes the relationship is close to non-existent. The deeper the S&P 500’s 1-year decline when the US dollar’s 1-y...
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2024-01-16 03:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
Invesco Announces Changes to Four ETFs PR Newswire PBP, CQQQ and RYJ to reduce fees; fee waiver extended for ICLO ATLANTA , Jan. 4, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Ltd. (NYSE: IVZ), a leading global asset management firm, has announced that it will implement...
2023-11-16 03:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...