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2023-05-19 10:20:00 ET Summary Valuations have a strong predictive relationship with future returns of risky assets like equities and high yields. We analyze this relationship for both US equity and US high yield credit, at the index level. US equities and US high yield credits ar...
2023-05-19 02:20:00 ET Summary Parking your fixed-income assets in cash may seem like a safe choice in today’s volatile investing environment, but it’s actually a risky proposition. The odds of meeting your investment goals over any reasonable horizon are much poorer...
2023-05-16 23:05:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve’s latest 0.25% interest rate hike has likely capped one of its most aggressive policy-tightening cycles in 40 years. Core inflation, which excludes the more volatile energy and food prices, remains historically high, but ha...
2023-05-16 03:30:00 ET Summary Historically low interest rates in recent years made it difficult for investors who seek yield from their investment portfolios. Rising rates in today's fixed income markets have led to more attractive bond prices and higher yields, alleviating some ...
2023-05-16 01:30:00 ET Summary If the US economy enters and remains in a low-growth phase, the high-yield sector isn't at great risk of a downturn. High-yield bonds supply an income stream that few other assets can match. Equities have taken longer to recover from drawdowns. ...
2023-05-07 04:56:00 ET Summary Higher central bank policy rates have increased the cost of capital for corporations and other issuers of debt. Issuers of bank loans, the very large majority of whom are below-investment grade rated companies, are now facing all-in interest expenses...
2023-05-05 02:45:00 ET Summary As bond yields rose in 2022, investors sought refuge in high-yield bank loans, whose floating coupons are often heralded as an antidote to rising rates. But with conditions shaping up differently in 2023, bank loans may face challenges. We think ...
2023-04-30 07:04:00 ET Summary Fixed income has both historically served as a diversifier and provided protection during times of market turbulence. Investment-grade (IG) index duration was rising before the COVID-19 pandemic, but it has fallen from the peak of 8.45 years at the e...
2023-04-28 04:30:00 ET Summary Canadian corporates succumbed to heightened risk aversion in March, following the banking turmoil, before the swift US and Swiss central bank market interventions calmed markets. Both Canadian and US credit spreads widened during the risk-off episode...
2023-04-22 04:15:00 ET Summary Recent outperformance by large-cap growth stocks may reflect a rotation into long-duration assets as the economy weakens and the turn in the rates cycle approaches. We remain cautious on equities in general, however, given uncertainty about the laggi...
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2024-06-13 23:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 00:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...