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September was a difficult month for stocks and interest rates, but U.S. high yield proved to be an exception. A common refrain cites U.S. corporate debt at record levels compared to the size of the economy. Currently, investment-grade bonds often start with negative real or even n...
The supply of new Treasury debt should average at least $1.5 trillion a year over the next 5 years. Household debt growth is also likely to soar, both mortgage and unsecured debt. At current interest rates, investor demand doesn't seem nearly sufficient to fund the total of $4 tri...
In early-July of this year, the HYIOAS was at its lowest level in more than 10 years and not far from an all-time low. For long-side speculations and investments, during the boom phase of the cycle, it’s important to emphasise assets and commodities that do well during booms. ...
Mid and small-cap value continue to outperform their respective “growth” factors YTD. Only large-cap growth is beating large-cap value YTD. At some point, large-cap growth will go out of favor and it could last a while. For further details see: Style Box Up...
Private equity volumes have already far surpassed their previous records of 2007, with over $800 billion pouring into more than 10,000 deals so far this year. Where private equity goes, speculative-grade debt follows. This week, Blackstone Group, Carlyle and Hellman & Friedman ann...
A fixed income investment can serve as diversifier against equities, a source of income, or even protection against inflation when using TIPS. As interest rates and inflation expectations evolve, a tactical rules-based approach to portfolio optimization can help provide investors with...
The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
Global asset markets have never been more overvalued, leveraged and interconnected in our lifetimes. This presents a massive instability risk for all of us, whether we appreciate it or not. The corporate sector has never been more indebted (less resilient to negative shocks) as a perc...
After record bond issuance in 2020 and profits hitting new highs, many companies are debating “What should we do with all this money?”. Given the limited impact to interest costs, I would expect high-quality companies to exhibit fewer bondholder-friendly spending habits....
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2024-08-02 21:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-13 23:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...