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We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
In the current commentary we hope to address this October’s unique market ghouls and further how we think resilient portfolios should be oriented around them. It is likely that in time pandemic distortions and extreme base effects will ease, though not immediately, pulling aggr...
Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...
When facing a rising-rate environment, investors who can’t stomach too much risk should limit - but not eliminate - duration, or sensitivity to interest-rate changes. Investors shouldn’t just shorten their portfolio’s duration; they should get a chunk of it from a...
As we move into Q4, markets are in a tug-of-war involving various good news vs. bad news debates. COVID-19 cases are declining, but central banks are considering tightening monetary policy. Earnings growth is strong, but year-over-year comparisons will become tougher. Employment stati...
The strong economic and market trends of the first half of 2021 wavered during the third quarter. The coronavirus delta variant caught up with the US at the height of the summer, just as vaccinations slowed and concerns grew that inflation might flare and persist. Even so, equity mark...
September was a difficult month for stocks and interest rates, but U.S. high yield proved to be an exception. A common refrain cites U.S. corporate debt at record levels compared to the size of the economy. Currently, investment-grade bonds often start with negative real or even n...
The supply of new Treasury debt should average at least $1.5 trillion a year over the next 5 years. Household debt growth is also likely to soar, both mortgage and unsecured debt. At current interest rates, investor demand doesn't seem nearly sufficient to fund the total of $4 tri...
In early-July of this year, the HYIOAS was at its lowest level in more than 10 years and not far from an all-time low. For long-side speculations and investments, during the boom phase of the cycle, it’s important to emphasise assets and commodities that do well during booms. ...
Mid and small-cap value continue to outperform their respective “growth” factors YTD. Only large-cap growth is beating large-cap value YTD. At some point, large-cap growth will go out of favor and it could last a while. For further details see: Style Box Up...
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2024-08-02 21:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-13 23:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...