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Summary Strains are building, and the U.S. will likely enter recession in the second half of 2023. By then, Europe will likely be emerging from recession, while China and Emerging Asia may be enjoying a COVID-reopening-inspired recovery. Segments of the inflation basket will soften rapi...
Summary Early this morning, the weekly release of mortgage purchases and refinance applications from the Mortgage Bankers Association posted outright impressive week-over-week increases for both metrics. Beginning with a look at purchases, the reading surged almost 25% week over week fo...
Summary QQQ and the S&P 500 have dropped from all-time record overvaluations a year ago but are still trading at more than double their average ratios relative to the profits of their components. Real estate has fallen modestly from its all-time highs in recent months but is about 7...
Summary Last year was certainly full of surprises - from rising inflation and interest rates to geopolitical turmoil and slower GDP growth - and 2023 will likely bring its fair share, too. In late 2022, year-over-year transaction volumes dropped 37%, 49%, and 68% in September, October, ...
Summary Easing supply chain pressures are evident in supplier delivery times, which have been rising at a slower pace recently. Labor shortages did not ease much even as demand weakened. Weak demand conditions are likely to continue limiting companies' ability to sustain high wage g...
Summary Home prices have started to correct as interest rates rose sharply in 2022. More inventory and few buyers will equate to a further price drop in the coming year. As home price depreciation gains traction, more homeowners will be dragged into selling to retain what value they...
Summary Manufacturing accounts for 8% of US employment, 20% of capital investment, and 35% of annual US productivity growth. Projects supporting growth for semiconductor fabrication, electric vehicle and battery plants, data centers, and warehouse/distribution centers now account for ap...
Summary The main determinants of housing demand in the short run are the level and direction of mortgage rates and the strength of the job market. Homebuilders have responded to the drop in new home sales by reducing housing starts, and this response is likely to continue this year, unt...
Summary Mortgage applications to purchase a home are a forward-looking indicator of where home sales volume will be. Mortgage lenders have spent the last 12 months laying off people and shutting down divisions. Some smaller operations have shut down entirely. What the real estate an...
Summary The cost of the mortgage payment to live in the median new home sold in November 2022 would consume 46.3% of the wages and salaries earned by a household in the middle of all income-earners in the U.S. The ratio of median household income to the median new home sale price droppe...
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2024-07-07 05:55:00 ET The entire concept behind exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is to make investing easier. With one investment you can buy large numbers of stocks and bonds, instantly creating a diversified portfolio. But Wall Street has taken ETFs well beyond their original conception, and...
2024-05-23 09:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 22:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...