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2023-04-11 05:30:00 ET Summary As long as banks have existed, banks have failed, just like other companies have failed, even the most splendid ones. Special servicing rates are a precursor for potential defaults for CRE mortgages that have been securitized into CMBS. CRE is un...
2023-04-06 09:40:00 ET Summary Coming out of January 2023's improvement, we had anticipated lower mortgage rates recorded in February 2023 would lead to a lower median new home's mortgage payment. After dipping to a revised 39.3% in January 2023, the mortgage payment for a median ...
2023-04-04 05:16:00 ET Summary The way we understand the tech economy is changing dramatically. While we can’t be sure if it is or is not too soon to enter the highest-quality REIT space, we know for sure it is not too late. Near-term challenges create volatility; long-...
2023-04-04 03:05:00 ET Summary Many of last winter’s biggest worries don’t look so bad in the spring. The few big bank failures didn’t explode into a massive bank run. The solution to un-stressing the banking system is simple: the Fed has to un-invert the Trea...
2023-04-04 02:30:00 ET Summary Markets are liquidity junkies and repeatedly anticipate that central banks will pause and return to easing credit conditions. Equities historically don’t bottom until after a recession is recognized and central banks near the end of easing eff...
2023-04-03 06:52:27 ET Summary Skyrocketing inflation has led to sharply higher interest rates. Higher rates have important implications for investment markets and securities. A look as to how higher rates impact real estate, REITs, and VNQ follows. Skyrocketing infl...
2023-03-31 03:00:00 ET Summary The world would be a lot easier for central bankers if things moved in a straight line. China has opened much more or has reopened much more rapidly than we would’ve expected. We’re pretty optimistic about what we think fixed-income...
2023-03-31 02:30:00 ET Summary Given the atypical nature of this economic cycle, we expect the eventual constraints on employment from tighter financial conditions to be even further delayed. The uncertain timing around the impact on employment has been compounded by an extremely ...
2023-03-30 02:30:00 ET Summary If homeowners want to sell their home and buy a bigger or a smaller home, or a home in a different location, they would have to change from a 3% mortgage to a 6.5% mortgage. So they’re not selling, and they’re not buying - they’v...
2023-03-29 13:25:00 ET Summary The economy continued to grow in March, with inflation still unacceptably high, and the Federal Reserve tightening further. A solid job market is the most important factor for consumer spending. Despite this, February retail sales dipped by 0.4 perce...
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2024-07-07 05:55:00 ET The entire concept behind exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is to make investing easier. With one investment you can buy large numbers of stocks and bonds, instantly creating a diversified portfolio. But Wall Street has taken ETFs well beyond their original conception, and...
2024-05-23 09:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-13 22:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...