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2023-11-01 20:55:00 ET Summary For the second meeting in a row, the Fed did what was widely expected and kept the Fed Funds target unchanged at the November FOMC meeting. The trading range remains at 5.25%-5.50%, still residing at a more than 20-year high watermark. While the ...
2023-11-01 09:05:00 ET Summary Historically, investors have been better served adding to their equity portfolios at the start of conflicts rather than reducing exposure or simply staying the course. How has the US stock market historically performed in the one year after the Fed e...
2023-11-01 00:24:58 ET Summary Geopolitical tensions (two wars) and potential money-printing exercises by the US Fed could lead to a bullish outlook for gold. Rising inflation, fueled by ongoing wars and disruptions in the global energy supply chain, could drive up gold prices and...
2023-10-31 14:51:00 ET Summary What's driving Treasury yields higher? What high bond yields say about fiscal and monetary policy? Strong US GDP impact on the bond market. The U.S. 10-year Treasury has been hovering near the 5% level as investors weigh the impact of s...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Purchasing Managers' Indexes painted a weaker picture for manufacturing in Japan, the eurozone and the UK. The 10-year US Treasury yield continued its roller coaster ride as a wide range of factors contributed to big swings in this key data point. ...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Since July, the probability of a recession starting sometime in the next 12 months has declined. However, the U.S. treasury yield curve is still inverted and the probability of recession remains elevated. The Recession Probability Track indicates...
2023-10-31 07:30:00 ET Summary Fed week this week and the ritual continues. Armageddon continues on hold, rebuffed by continuing good economic and earnings reports. A few words about inflation. If you believe the Fed’s rhetoric, the 10-year US Treasury note near 5% ...
2023-10-31 06:04:13 ET The U.S. Treasury lowered its federal borrowing estimate for the current quarter on higher revenue expectations, potentially offering reprieve amid fiscal deficit concerns. However, this would still be a record amount of borrowing compared to prior fourth qu...
2023-10-31 03:25:00 ET Summary I find it fascinating that for the first full year of inflation, 2021-2022, markets did not price in any interest rate rise at all. When the Fed finally did start to raise rates, amid raging inflation, the market even more curiously thought the rate ...
2023-10-31 00:30:00 ET Summary By themselves, Treasury yields spiking out of control can cause a recession, and October delivered both a 5% yield on 10-year Treasury bonds and 8% fixed-rate mortgages. We have gotten into a situation where the avalanche of Treasury issuance (due to...
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2024-07-29 06:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 06:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 01:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...