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2023-11-07 11:39:00 ET Summary The late summer equity market selloff was driven by a melt-up in real (“inflation adjusted”) rates. While the relationship between stocks and bonds has varied over time, it becomes more significant when rates jump. Albeit painful, t...
2023-11-07 09:05:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey shows banks have tightened lending standards further while households and businesses remain wary of taking on additional borrowing. Given how important credit flow is to the US economy, it make...
2023-11-07 05:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-11-06 19:25:00 ET Summary A dovish nudge in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) November press conference pushed markets to again price a significant monetary easing as early as mid-2024. For the best part of this tightening cycle, the Federal Reserve has been playing...
2023-11-06 09:00:00 ET Summary The market decided last week that interest rates have peaked for this cycle. And if rates have peaked then all the assets that have been pressured over the last two years can finally come up for air. Whether the Fed’s rate hikes really caused ...
2023-11-06 02:07:00 ET Summary By some accounts the latest slide in the 10-year US Treasury yield is helping tip the scale in favor of the peak rates forecast. Analysts say that Fed Chairman Powell’s comments on Wednesday suggest the central bank may be done with rate hikes...
2023-11-04 09:26:10 ET Summary The S&P 500 jumped 5.9%, the largest weekly gain in a year. Wall Street just got schooled on the dangers of market timing after a shock cross-asset rally on tentative bets that the great monetary stress of 2023 is easing at long last. With wh...
2023-11-03 23:00:00 ET Summary Long rates are now near 5%, resulting in mortgage rates now above 8.5% on average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and over 7.6% on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage. As for inflation, Chairman Powell repeatedly emphasized that progress was being made b...
2023-11-03 22:39:00 ET Summary The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of 3.4 percent over the twelve-month period ending in September 2023. Short-term interest rates are higher than they have been at any point in the last t...
2023-11-03 15:30:00 ET Summary Is the Fed done hiking? What bond yields say about interest rates and the economy. What a robust US economy could mean for rates. The U.S. Fed kept interest rates steady for a second straight meeting, fueling speculation the central b...
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2024-07-29 06:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-09 06:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 01:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...