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2024-01-11 11:20:00 ET Summary In the wake of the Federal Reserve's dovish shift in December, financial markets had moved to price an interest rate cut as soon as March. However, the tight jobs market and today's firmer-than-expected inflation numbers suggest this is unlikely, bar...
2024-01-11 03:41:00 ET Summary Economic growth is now cooling as global monetary tightening gradually takes its toll. Most central bankers have now adopted a more dovish stance, and rate cuts are likely in 2024. Rate cuts failing to materialize may drive extended U.S. Treasury...
2024-01-10 10:32:00 ET Summary There’s a lot riding on tomorrow’s US consumer inflation report for December for markets, which are pricing in relatively upbeat news. Economists expect a bit of a mixed bag. For the year-over-year headline data, consumer inflation is p...
2024-01-10 02:35:00 ET Summary This is a hyper rate-sensitive environment given the aggressive tightening by many Western central banks. I’m optimistic that policymakers will remain vigilant in 2024 and quickly react to any issues that arise from their past tightening. ...
2024-01-09 13:25:00 ET Summary Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate red...
2024-01-08 22:35:00 ET Summary Many months ago it became abundantly clear that the Fed had extinguished the inflation fires that were stoked in 2020-21, and therefore lower interest rates were called for. More recently, we see that the economy has lost a lot of its forward momentu...
2024-01-08 21:34:00 ET Summary In the day-to-day, week-to-week movements of the markets, it is easy to forget that we are investing with a timeline measured in years, and for many investors, decades. Scientific advancements in recent years have been nothing short of amazing, but i...
2024-01-08 19:25:00 ET Summary The minutes of the FOMC December meeting were released on January 3, 2023, and were greeted by a slight market turndown. Markets had previously priced in the three rate cuts that the December SEPs (Summary of Economic Projections) suggested might be ...
2024-01-08 18:50:00 ET Summary No economist’s work is more germane to Issues 2024 than the brilliant Minsky. The hedge fund industry had surpassed $500 billion by 2001, up from about $35 billion to begin the nineties. Global markets wasted no time signaling 2024 liquidi...
2024-01-08 13:15:00 ET Summary Risk assets surged to end 2023 as the Federal Reserve blessed market hopes for rate cuts. That momentum could persist for some time as inflation cools. Stocks slid and bond yields rose last week. Data pointing to sticky U.S. wages showed why we think...
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2024-06-09 06:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 01:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-30 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...