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2023-10-04 07:42:00 ET Summary With yield curves still inverted, a short-dated high-yield strategy continues to make sense for return-seeking investors with a defensive mindset. US and euro high-yield spreads have tightened this year (by about 93 bps and 19 bps respectively), driv...
2023-10-03 04:06:00 ET Summary Despite compelling evidence that central banks have likely completed or nearly completed their hiking cycles, yields have continued to rise globally and are now at cyclical highs. Sustained higher interest rates are also likely to lead, eventually, t...
2023-09-15 05:30:00 ET Summary In corporate credit, we evaluate convexity as the upside price potential compared to the downside price potential. Newly issued high yield bonds typically have limited upside price potential compared to downside price potential. Newly issued inve...
2023-09-15 03:30:00 ET Summary We believe a very high level of conviction that a recession will occur is necessary before investors start overweighting or underweighting equities. This is because changes in portfolio positioning can have significant negative or positive impacts on...
2023-09-09 05:45:00 ET Summary With the highest interest rates in 22 years, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. With higher interest rates, fixed income now offers a generational opport...
2023-09-05 12:00:00 ET Summary Higher rates mean bond markets once more offer worthwhile real returns, while more challenging economic conditions are creating greater scope for active fixed-income security selection. Systematic fixed-income investing is an active approach that aim...
2023-08-31 00:35:00 ET Summary Record QT and big rate hikes no problem: Corporate Bond Market Distress Index drops to lowest level since before the Fed started tightening. The New York Fed’s update on Wednesday of its weekly Corporate Bond Market Distress Index (CMDI) shows...
2023-08-09 06:35:00 ET Summary With the global economy slowing under the weight of central bank rate hikes, many income-seeking investors are shying away from high-yield corporate bonds. Prudent fiscal management isn’t the only reason the corporate universe is well-position...
2023-08-06 03:35:00 ET Summary The two-year versus 10-year Treasury spread narrowed 20 bps this week, the largest narrowing since the banking crisis week of March 17th. The market's probability for a 25 bps rate increase at the Fed’s September 20th meeting dropped from 19% ...
2023-08-02 16:54:13 ET Summary Pacer Trendpilot US Bond ETF is a trend-following bond exchange-traded fund. The strategy does not seem to work, underperforming during the current hiking cycle. A closer look at the fund, and its strategy, follows. I've covered several...
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2024-06-14 02:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-23 12:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-13 12:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...