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The historic valuation gap between global Value and Growth stocks finally began its reversal. Despite pockets of outrageously overvalued Growth stocks being de-rated in Q1 and Q2, we still believe we are in a Growth bubble. Speculative behavior is rampant. We firmly believe that v...
A majority of BlackRock investors in a recent survey felt that inflation would be transitory. Yet, they also felt the market might overreact to the inflation data, making some portfolio protection prudent. Economically sensitive cyclical stocks have had a very strong run since the ann...
It is impossible to avoid all risks. I attempt to identify as many risks as possible and manage these risks by addressing them. All assets have embedded risks, whether we can identify them or not. Should one invest in growth or value? In examining eleven time periods, the average grow...
In recent years, Value has underperformed other factors in global equity markets. However, the sources of Value performance are not identical. The purpose of this analysis is not to identify the reasons for the slump in Value, but to analyze its performance by region and the differenc...
The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
Inflation will benefit some companies, be indifferent to others, and hurt the rest. To understand what separates winners from losers, we need to understand the physics of how inflation flows through a company’s income statement and balance sheet. The rate of change of inflation...
Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled. Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive ...
The breakneck pace of the COVID-driven decline and restart has made for one unprecedented economic and market cycle. We begin the second half positioned for recovery, while also safeguarding against potential bouts of market angst. We remain constructive on U.S. stocks as the economic...
At Mutual Series, we buy stocks at a discount to what they are worth, taking an objective view of the economic value of the company’s assets and growth prospects. Economic value reflects an asset’s potential contribution to cash flow growth and the company’s compe...
This is a truly singular global recession and recovery, and it makes portfolio diversification both vital and challenging. At the moment, the item that tops the agenda for most of our clients is no big surprise: inflation, and what to do about it in portfolios. Inflation is usuall...
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2024-06-14 03:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-22 22:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-12 03:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...