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2023-10-30 07:07:00 ET Summary Looking at the fed funds probability picture, it’s clear the Fed / FOMC is on hold for now. I also think investors have to look at yields at the longer end of the curve, as there are some signs of the US economy weakening. Apple’s r...
2023-10-27 23:25:00 ET Summary After two quarters of strong equity performance, markets paused and reversed in the third quarter of the year. U.S. equities lost -3.2% and European equities lost -2.1%. Clearly, the change of tone at the U.S. Federal Reserve (“Fed”) pl...
2023-10-21 00:30:00 ET Summary The Transports and the Semis are two groups typically viewed as "leading" indicators for the broader market. While the Transports (Dow Transportation Index) are now up 15.3% compared to the S&P 500's gain of 19.5%, Semis (Philly Sox Index) are st...
2023-10-19 10:06:00 ET Summary Although American shares continue to hold on to a strong rally from the year-ago bottom, reclaiming the previous market peak is nowhere on the near-term horizon. The current drawdown is the ninth-longest on record since 1950. At this point in history...
2023-10-18 07:10:00 ET Summary Dividend futures for the S&P 500 are now available for each quarter through the end of 2024. The past quarters of 2021-Q4 through 2023-Q3 represent the final value the CME Group's dividend futures recorded for the index on the date the dividend f...
2023-10-15 06:30:00 ET Summary The investment environment has undergone a sweeping alteration, calling for significant capital reallocation. The decline in interest rates over the past 40 years has been overlooked as a major driver of investment profits. Credit instruments may...
2023-10-12 04:19:00 ET Summary The first half of the year has been far better than expected when comparing expectations at the start of the year which was a more doom and gloom narrative along with the possibility of an earnings recession. For the first time in six quarters, earni...
2023-10-09 23:21:00 ET Summary For the past 30 years, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. S&P 500 options volatility appears to alternate between high and low volatility regimes. Implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exce...
2023-10-07 00:51:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 Index's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 18.8 times is 8% greater than the historical median valuation of 17.3 times, and in the 68th percentile relative to history. Both the regular return on equity (ROE) and the intangibl...
2023-10-06 22:17:00 ET Summary The window of weakness for stocks is closing, could this presage of a blow-off top to close out the year? The risk for stocks could again be to the upside. A constructive correction in crude oil. One: The window of weakness is closing...
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2024-07-13 23:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 03:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 06:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...