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Summary Recession is foretold, in our view, as central banks crush demand to bring down inflation. We think markets are wrong to expect them to later come to the rescue. U.S. stocks fell and the Treasury yield curve inverted its most since the early 1980s. We see recent moves as reflect...
Strong economic growth in 2021 and a healthy demand environment entering 2022 served as catalysts for companies to allocate high cash balances toward capital expenditures, share repurchases, and M&A. Share repurchases increased considerably, given significant equity drawdowns this...
Investors see further Fed rate rises, but believe they will start moderating in size after September. Investors continue to see some risks to credit markets, with views that fundamentals will deteriorate and spreads will generally widen somewhat. There is uncertainty around when a...
Since the Fed first implemented its “zero interest rate policy” in the wake of the financial crisis, investors have been left with a bond market landscape that presented many challenges from an income perspective. With the dynamic duo of inflation and a Fed tightening po...
The revised long-term outlook projects an annualized return of 4.9%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI suggests that multi-asset-class strategies overall will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent years. Combining forecasts via several models may prov...
If inflation and rate increases do not rise above current market expectations, however, there is a case for longer-duration instruments. Asset allocation models are well documented across the investment universe, and portfolio diversification is a widely accepted principle. Histor...
Inflation remains top of mind for investors and policymakers alike. Tighter monetary regimes and a rising risk of recession are typical hazards for corporate debt. Deglobalization may gather steam. By Scott DiMaggio, CFA & Gershon M. Distenfeld, CFA It's be...
As the Treasury curve flattened and yields rose, spreads on investment-grade corporates and taxable municipals continued to show signs of weakness. Wider spreads and longer durations hurt our performance during the quarter, but locking in higher book yields should be beneficial to our...
iShares Aaa - A Rated Corporate Bond ETF ( QLTA ) - $0.1407 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 4.13% as of June. 29. Payable Jul 08; for shareholders of record Jul 05; ex-div Jul 01. For further details see: iShares Aaa - A Rated Corporate Bond ETF declares monthly distributi...
The rhythm of the markets has gradually, but permanently, changed over the last 40 years. Despite the (relatively) positive trend in reopening sectors of the economy, the labor market is showing signs of slowing. For now, inflation is the “singular mandate” of major ...
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2024-06-14 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-03 20:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-01 12:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...