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Summary The composite consumer sentiment increased to 58.6 in September, up from 58.2 in August. Buying conditions for durables and the one-year economic outlook continued lifting from the extremely low readings earlier in the summer, largely offset by modest declines in the long ...
Summary It was yet another brutal month for the bullish traders and long-term investors holding a balanced portfolio. The S&P 500 fell about 8% while the AGG total bond market ETF fell nearly 4%, including dividends. Looking ahead, key economic data hits next week before t...
Summary What the market wasn't expecting was for the FOMC to raise its target rate, extend the duration for rate cuts, and claim that inflation is still out of control. In order to have a meaningful low, the S&P 500 needs to get a 5th wave up, and for rates, the USD and oil to...
Summary We have now entered the crash zone. What happens next is dependent on decisions made by the central banks. Global markets need to make the "W" formation or else crash. Until the dollar is back under control, no other market is safe. So, if you knew someon...
Summary As the Federal Reserve continues reiterating a more aggressive monetary policy stance, analysts are finally shifting from a “slow growth” to a “mild recession” view. Investing during a recession is difficult. The recession could be worse tha...
Summary For the week ended September 24, the initial claims for unemployment insurance fell by 16,000 from the prior week to 193,000 (seasonally adjusted) - near historic lows. This shows that most of the people who are being laid off either already had a new job lined up, or they...
Summary The sharp declines have dramatically changed the valuation landscape. Paying too high a premium for safety could backfire if market trends shift again. We believe growth stocks’ valuations are far more attractive today than they were a year ago. Active inves...
Summary Although the S&P 500 hit 52-week lows for the first time since June this week, bulls actually stepped back up to the plate (in a very small way). Bullish sentiment, according to the AAII sentiment survey, rose back up to 20% after a low of 17.7% last week. Even wit...
Summary In the week ending September 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted 16,000 from the previous week's revised level. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1% for the week ending September 17, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. ...
Summary We laid out our case as to why a walk-back might be in the cards. Weakest Month of the Year is September. Managers Sentiment/Positioning for the Apocalypse. In last week’s note, we laid out our case as to why a walk-back might be in the cards – ...
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The Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Simplify Exchange Traded Funds (the “Trust”) has determined that it is in the best interests of shareholders to liquidate the Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Downside Convexity ETF (QQD) and Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Convexity ETF (QQC) a...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 6 Simplify ETFs. * For the funds listed in the table below, the ex-date for the 2022 capital gains distribut...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 3 Simplify ETFs.* For the funds listed in Table 1, the ex-date for the 2021 capital gains distribution...