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Summary Correlations are not something I suggest investors/traders follow. The bulls are still in the game, and are setting up for higher levels in the coming weeks. My next target is the 3900-4000SPX region. I know that many of you trade “correlations.”...
Summary Stocks finished the week of October 21, 2022, in a precarious spot. The market was trading sharply lower before the opening of trading, and a headline turned the tide. If the rally from last week is real, the bulls will need to prove it. It was yet another vo...
Summary Why we may be facing a calamitous recession vs a run-of-the-mill one. The Fed's next move on rates may be more important than others. Is it time to start reflecting on the impact rates are having on the real economy? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been ...
Summary Everyone now knows that as interest rates rise, stock price falls. The RPF model quantifies and explains the impact of earnings and long-term Treasury expectations on the S&P 500. With the end of quantitative easing, long bond rates are no longer artificially depressed...
Summary Europe’s energy security and decarbonization goals will spur R&D in cleantech, solar in particular. We expect further easing of monetary and fiscal policies to boost growth prospects and earnings expectations, and possibly trigger a rebound in Chinese equities. ...
Summary “Recession Fatigue” is setting in as consumers struggle under rising interest rates, high inflation, and a declining stock market. With unemployment rates at record lows, jobless claims at historically low levels, and consumer spending still above trend, an o...
Summary Wall Street will pay close attention to the first look at third-quarter GDP. This is the critical week for guidance from mega-cap tech that will either make or break risk appetite. A new week will bring a new Prime Minister in the UK, the third in two months, following...
Summary What the bottom of the market might look like? Why growth may have to flatten before a market bottom can be reached? Why core inflation is a newly challenged for central banks and what it means for markets? Equity markets have struggled this year amid...
Summary The distortion of inflation can lower the rate of real growth because inflation impacts behavior in nonproductive ways. The number of job openings exceeds the number of job seekers, and the result is a wage inflation pressure that is triggering the Federal Reserve’s...
Summary The tug-of-war between strong earnings reports and rising interest rates continues. Fair market value for the S&P 500 has arguably fallen to 3,200 with the rapid increase in interest rates. Bear markets take no prisoners, as stocks are sold indiscriminately as we a...
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The Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Simplify Exchange Traded Funds (the “Trust”) has determined that it is in the best interests of shareholders to liquidate the Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Downside Convexity ETF (QQD) and Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Convexity ETF (QQC) a...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 6 Simplify ETFs. * For the funds listed in the table below, the ex-date for the 2022 capital gains distribut...
Simplify Asset Management Inc. ("Simplify"), an innovative provider of Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs"), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 3 Simplify ETFs.* For the funds listed in Table 1, the ex-date for the 2021 capital gains distribution...