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2024-01-17 18:53:00 ET Summary Key questions facing investors in 2024. Why US markets may lag other markets this year. Why inflation is still the northern star for investors. Investors are facing numerous uncertainties in 2024, including the state of the economy and ...
2024-01-17 14:45:00 ET Summary The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings. The NY Fed Manufacturing Index, as it’s popularly known, is prized as an early read each month on the manuf...
2024-01-13 01:12:00 ET Summary In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. By increasing the cost of employing low-wage workers, a higher minimum wage generally leads employers to reduce the size of their w...
2024-01-12 22:35:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve policy rates are set to fall in 2024. However, clear evidence that inflation has been tamed likely needs to emerge before cuts can commence, likely around mid-year. While a smooth landing is still far from certain, rate cuts accompani...
2024-01-12 01:30:00 ET Summary While recession continues to be a base case of 55%, the odds of a soft landing are getting better. As you near a cycle peak, the economy transitions quickly from strong job formation to outright losses. The Fed has the latitude to cut rates and, ...
2024-01-08 14:15:00 ET Summary There has never been an incidence in history where US Conference Board LEI had a 6-month average growth rate sub -4.5%. The six-month smoothed LEI growth rate in November was -7.5% and has been negative for 20 consecutive months. When we combine ...
2024-01-08 09:52:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has backed away from its all-time (trading) high of 4,818, while the Nasdaq is off to its weakest start since January 2008. Any data point that helps Treasury yields rise a little after the torrid two-month rally from late October thr...
2024-01-08 08:00:00 ET Summary The stock market rally in 2023 was primarily enjoyed by seven large-cap technology stocks, but I expect the rally will ultimately widen in 2024 for both stocks and bonds. The Federal Reserve is projected to shift from tightening to accommodation as i...
2024-01-08 04:43:00 ET Summary We are entering a period whereby supportive structural flows for stocks are much less prominent, leaving the market open to a window of vulnerability. Measures of market internals and market breadth are no longer wholly supportive of higher stock pri...
2024-01-03 11:15:00 ET Summary Assets bid up by irrational amounts eventually end up on clearance sale. Large-cap companies are typically more financially stable but still saw a tripling of the negative earnings share during past recessions. January clocks stock market gains f...
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2024-06-14 04:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 14:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...