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2024-05-24 11:50:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists increasingly believe the risk of recession has fallen sharply. We currently have the longest, consistent period in history where the yield spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill is inverted. ...
2024-05-20 15:10:00 ET Summary The VIX may be trading at 52-week lows lately, but the Nasdaq has been nothing short of volatile. Since the Nasdaq’s inception in 1971, the current period is just the 15th time it shifted from extreme oversold to extreme overbought levels in 2...
2024-05-10 07:50:00 ET Summary The four-week moving average of initial claims, which the Labor Department also provides, irons out the week-to-week squiggles. We’re looking for sharp increases in weekly claims for unemployment insurance benefits, and we’re looking fo...
2024-05-10 07:26:37 ET Momentum is back in the markets, with major indices like the Dow ( DJI ), S&P 500 ( SP500 ) and Nasdaq ( COMP:IND ) all just 1% away from their all-time record highs. The bull run is continuing despite concerns that the Fed might hold rates hig...
2024-05-09 10:40:00 ET Summary There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. In the search of early warning signs of trouble, it’s useful to focus on the labor market, which is arguably the key driver of economic strength and w...
2024-05-09 06:00:00 ET Summary Inflation, interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty tend to influence the market more than U.S. election results. Traders tend to conflate their political bias, or a certain election result, as being better for the stock market over the next four ...
2024-05-04 05:00:00 ET Summary The Japanese currency had weakened back to 157.94 by Wednesday, before a second round of intervention pushed the dollar/yen down to 153. The Nasdaq 100 traded up to 17,800 in Monday trading - then dropped 2.9% to Wednesday morning lows. Any pushb...
2024-05-02 05:40:25 ET There's a famous adage on Wall Street called "Sell in May and go away," but investors are analyzing if the strategy still holds any merit. The investment approach posits that stocks tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should convert to...
2024-05-01 10:20:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will see a recession begin sometime in the next twelve months has started to fall again during the past six weeks, after having hit a double-top. The Recession Probability Track indicates the probability a recession w...
2024-04-24 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
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2024-06-14 04:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 02:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-04 14:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...