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2023-04-02 06:15:00 ET Summary The NASDAQ has entered a bull market for the second, or maybe the third time, in less than a year. The latest rally in the NASDAQ has been driven by CTA flows. These flows should fade this week and the rally with it. For fur...
2023-03-29 03:30:00 ET Summary While US large cap equity indexes have generally fared well over the past five years, the Russell 1000 Invesco Dynamic Multifactor Index [RB1] has posted standout returns. The Russell 1000 Index — an unbiased barometer for the broad US large c...
2023-03-27 09:20:00 ET Summary While the final Q4 ’22 GDP estimate and the GDP deflator will get a lot of lip service, the big data point this week will be Friday’s PCE deflator data for February ’23. While Jay Powell is saying the Fed funds rate reductions ar...
2023-03-20 14:58:00 ET Summary As of Friday’s close, QQQ actually finished in overbought territory whereas many other major index ETFs were oversold. Historically, the major indices, namely the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, tend to trade at similar overbought and oversold levels....
2023-03-18 02:14:07 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Several important coincident indicators - tax withholding and temporary staf...
2023-03-18 01:20:49 ET Summary The recent weakness in the banking system demonstrates just how fragile it is. We have yet to see the full impact of higher interest rates in the economy, but earnings have already started to decline. The market's earnings expectations for the S&...
2023-03-11 02:24:27 ET Summary The Fed “pivot” which is “higher for longer” and the implications. We believe that the Fed is well aware of the need for a continued hiking process and therefore staying “higher for longer”. Volatility mo...
Summary For the month of February, the S&P 500 Total Return Index ended down -2.4%. What disrupted the January rally? During the month, we received some affirming data that the economy may be on firmer footing than economists previously thought. But markets are worried that such str...
Summary The forward 12-month EPS is a time-weighted average between FY1 (2023) and FY2 (2024). During the height of the pandemic, we saw aggressive downgrades in EPS estimates during March-June 2020 as shown in the 2020, 2021 , and 2022 worm. Both the Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 G...
Summary When the market peaked in January 2022, everyone was exceedingly bullish, and no one was looking for a 20% decline. Retail investors have sharply increased their equity allocations over the last couple of months, dropping their cash holdings sharply. From a contrarian viewpo...
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2024-06-02 12:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 02:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 05:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...