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2023-11-07 21:35:00 ET Summary The third quarter GDP report surprised most economists with a blowout 4.9% gain. Is a downside reversal brewing for Q4? Early estimates for the final months of 2023 point to a substantially softer pace of economic activity. It’s premature ...
2023-11-03 16:04:00 ET Summary Despite substantially tighter monetary policy, the strength of jobs and retail sales stumped expectations of a recessionary downturn in 2022. Current real-time economic data suggests the economy is rapidly moving from economic slowdown toward recessi...
2023-11-02 21:00:00 ET Summary Due to rapid government spending, inventory building by the private sector and about $500B coming out of the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility, US ‘real’ GDP grew at an annualised rate of almost 5% in Q3-2023. It has been known for a f...
2023-11-02 06:00:00 ET Summary The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Fund ETF tracks the performance of the Nasdaq-100 Equal Weighted Index. QQEW charges a high management fee of 0.58% compared to other Nasdaq-100 ETFs. QQEW has historically underperformed the Nasdaq...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Since July, the probability of a recession starting sometime in the next 12 months has declined. However, the U.S. treasury yield curve is still inverted and the probability of recession remains elevated. The Recession Probability Track indicates...
2023-10-27 07:45:00 ET Summary Following the September FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve reiterated its higher for longer mantra and upgraded its economic forecast to include a no recession scenario. If the average delay between the final rate increase and recession is 11 months, ...
2023-10-23 20:25:00 ET Summary After a lower open to start the week, stocks have staged a pretty big intraday recovery (so far). One catalyst for the rally was a tweet by Bill Ackman saying his firm had covered its Treasury short, citing too much geopolitical risk and an economy w...
2023-10-20 04:30:00 ET Summary Rising inflation precedes recessions, and monetary policy actions are pro-cyclical rather than counter-cyclical. The combination of fiscal stimulus and monetary expansion has resulted in negative net national saving, which will impair economic growth...
2023-10-19 10:30:00 ET Summary While the US economy has been resilient this year, the lagged effects of tightening are likely still to come. Inflation expectations, credit spreads, corporate credit, employment, and housing aren’t in recession territory. The yield curve,...
2023-10-18 20:55:00 ET Summary With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were all the rage, and their historical track record was ...
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2024-06-02 12:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-24 02:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-25 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...