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It certainly has been an extraordinary period of weakness for the bond market with the most rapid rising yields that we’ve seen in decades. But the other side of the coin is that now that yields are at these higher levels, bonds represent a much more interesting investment oppo...
The search for value is on, particularly in short to medium duration. We believe yield translates into return potential, and it’s an opportune time to assess current yields in the context of the durability (or lack thereof) of the Fed’s recently aggressive monetary polic...
Investors are shifting their focus from runaway inflation to slowing global growth as central banks hike rates to tame price pressures. Today’s corporate bond issuers are in much better shape financially than issuers entering past recessions. Companies have been focused on ...
Global sovereign bonds caught a bid during the back half of May after a sentiment washout and classic contrarian bottoming signal. Hot Eurozone inflation and buoying policies in China are not enough to offset apparent major global growth risks. All eyes are back on the Fed with ea...
Each time a more substantial market correction occurred, Central Banks acted to provide the “neutral stimulus.”. Investors have been under a tremendous amount of pressure this year. The Fed doesn’t mind a “disinflation” in asset prices to reduce ...
With passive investments, investors can seek to quickly and efficiently gain exposure to credit assets when markets are down and withdraw after they have risen. One could potentially get a spread pickup of over 150 basis points for one BBB senior bond versus another with a similar dur...
The US equity and fixed income markets are facing challenges due to a slowing US economy along with a significant pivot in monetary policy toward a more hawkish stance. Combating inflation has become a priority, and investor focus has shifted toward the uncertain impact of rising inte...
For investors worried about continued higher policy rates, duration risk can be hedged to various degrees while allowing investors to retain exposure to the credit risk. Many issuers in bank loan and private credit markets issue floating rate instruments where the issuer is exposed to...
Stolen, plundered, looted, and the list goes on. It is what has happened to our portfolios since the beginning of the year. Bonds, equities, you name it. While the Fed’s policies may well help our rate of inflation, now at 9.75%, averaging the PPI and the CPI, I do not see high...
We slightly reduce risk on a worsening macro outlook. We upgrade European government bonds and investment grade credit, and downgrade Chinese assets. The Fed raised rates by 0.5% last week - the largest increase since 2000 - and signaled similar rises ahead. Long-term yields shot up a...