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Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...
Global Private Equity is in the lead, up 19.7% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. Emerging Markets are the laggard with a YTD gain of just 1.5%. Commodities have come on strong this year after losing -7.8% last year. US REITs have rebounded strongly from last year's -4.7% decline. High...
Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...
The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
The price rise in commodities since April 2020 has so far outperformed the BRIC-driven supercycle of the early 2000s. With rates likely to stay low and infrastructure investments on the rise, commodities could be headed for long-term growth. Today, the economic recovery remains on...
Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
Treasury bonds have been in a bull market for close to 40 years and real yields are nowadays negative. GOVT investors are currently not compensated for the inflation and interest rate risks. Buying commodities can prove to be a wise move at this point in time. For further de...
In addition to the broad goal of climate neutrality, we believe that institutional interest in environmental, social and governance investing is also supportive to commodity prices. At Russell Investments, we’ve seen an increasing institutional focus on ESG matters, and we are ...
As the economy continues to recover, market participants will concentrate on two critical areas: the employment picture and policy decisions made by the Federal Reserve. The jobs picture and Fed decisions could create volatility for commodities, stocks and bonds in the months ahead. ...
Over the past four months, in parallel with spectacular gains in the prices of coal and natural gas, there have been spectacular declines in the prices of lumber and iron-ore. A common argument against there being a general inflation problem is that the large rises in commodity prices...