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In the US, we may have seen the peak of overall inflation, with the annualized CPI rate increasing at 8.3% in April, down from 8.5% in March. One particular item has gotten recently in the US, baby formula, a peculiarly egregious shortage. It is the food situation that is the most...
Development in certain types of fuel oil could help analysts monitor the trade and traffic dynamics. Trade and maritime data could help industry players to navigate the fuel market from several ways, whether directly or indirectly engaged in bunkering services and fuel supply. The...
The European Union’s plans for a phased ban on Russian oil imports leaves a sizeable hole in global supply. So, what should investors pay attention to in trying to leverage oil gains? Even if you set aside the Russia factor, there are many considerations for investors aimin...
Exactly a year ago I shared a chart here that represented “An Epic Set Of Alligator Jaws.” It plotted the weighting of the energy sector within the S&P 500 Index versus the combined weightings of the tech and communications services sectors. The energy sector has ris...
We have been living under an illusion that the relationship between nominal GDP and the quantity of circulating currency is dead. Claims linking inflation to the size of the balance sheet may stem, in part, from focus by Fed officials on the size of the balance sheet in recent months....
Fifteen years ago, my chart look-ahead was about three years, to 2010, with the basic idea being that these long-term cycles had already turned or were about to turn. I underestimated the status quo's ability to kick the can down the road for a decade. After 15 years of frantic ca...
The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent imposition of sanctions by a range of governments have served to reset the global geopolitical compass, with an immediate impact on oil and gas markets and investments. Elevated prices and new sources of demand will create opportuniti...
Our macroeconomic forecasting team assesses how the war and latest survey data have altered the economic outlook, policymaking and recession risks. Global growth was dragged lower, principally by steep contractions in Russia and mainland China. Barring the initial COVID-19 outbreak, M...
It was a tremendous week of market volatility for every asset class on Wall Street. It is still all about inflation and what will be the reaction from central banks. A challenging inflation and growth mix have driven investor concerns that the Fed won’t be able to deliver a...
SEA experienced a severe contraction in 2020 because of lockdowns and border closures to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, which halted economic activity and business in the region. Singapore is on track for power demand recovery. The average power demand in Q1-2022 surpass...