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Coming out of Memorial Day weekend, WTI crude oil closed out May with its sixth straight monthly gain, resulting in the second-longest streak going back to 1983. Since the US government stopped price controls on US crude oil in the early 1980s, there have only been six other periods w...
Energy and commodity companies are largely paid in U.S. dollars. Portfolios that focus on inflationary growth sectors are benefiting from high prices for copper, crude oil, natural gas, fertilizer, lithium, and other higher commodity prices. The median new home sales price is now ...
The war in Ukraine will likely pour more gasoline on the already raging inflationary fire, threatening to send the global economy into stagflation. Stagflation is a slowdown of economic activity caused by inflation. Over the last 20-plus years, every time the economy stumbled, Uncle F...
EU members have finally agreed on a watered-down ban on Russian oil and refined product imports. The move is still relatively supportive for the market, given the ban covers the bulk of Russian oil flows to the EU. A gradual ban on Russian oil means that the strength in the market...
Investment assets can be classified into those with an inherent vs fiat money return. Both are valued according to a common principle linked to real GDP growth described herein. In addition to showing how these assets are valued, this post discusses investment implications given s...
The MENA region, driven by large GCC oil exporters, is set to benefit from noticeably higher near-term oil and gas prices due to the Russia-Ukraine war and the implications of sanctions on Russia for global energy markets, with oil-exporting countries' governments likely to spend more to ...
GOM gas production peaked in 1997 at 14.4 bcf/day and has been declining ever since. The Greater Perdido fold belt area in Alaminos will become a Tier 2 sweet spot. BOEM’s Undiscovered Technically Recoverable Resources from their 2021 update for the entire GOM is 29.6 Bbo. ...
Natural gas prices can spike and plunge, periodically taking down hedge funds that got caught on the wrong side. Production from the fracking boom created so much supply in the US by 2009 that the price collapsed. LNG exports require very capital-intensive liquefaction facilities ...
Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...
Global public opinion seems divided on whether or not to impose a “carbon tax” on the metal and mining sector. This goes double for steel. Steel serves as one of the most widely-used building materials in the world. The process depends upon coking coal. Steel produce...