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Consumer goods industries remain hamstrung by supply chain bottlenecks, soaring costs, and the shift in spending toward services, reporting only modest growth in May to contribute to a broader manufacturing malaise. Global economic growth continued to be fueled first and foremost by r...
The pace of global economic growth remained among the weakest seen so far during the pandemic recovery period in May, according to the latest PMI data compiled for JPMorgan by S&P Global. Future expectations remain especially weak by historical standards in India and the eurozone ...
The US consumer price index (CPI) has risen by over 8% in the past year, similar to Europe’s 7.4% increase. In the US, higher retail gasoline prices have historically led to higher expectations of inflation, leading to higher actual inflation. Going forward, achieving a div...
With the war in Ukraine and China’s zero-Covid policy, delays and prolonged supply bottlenecks are defining this year’s world trade outlook. Yes, demand is softer, notably from China but the backlog is such that supply chains will remain strained for the rest of the year...
Quite frankly, new business creation is occurring in many parts of the world. We have observed new businesses being created at an annual growth rate greater than 15% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada, France, Japan and the United States. The Economist estimates th...
Stocks had a ripsnorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. Sentiment is certainly negative right now by several measures. Sentiment surveys (AAII, Investor’s Intelligence, etc.) are universally negative becau...
Davos 2022, the annual meeting of The World Economic Forum, came to an end with many experts painting a bleak outlook for the global economy. Wall Street analysts, economists, and industry leaders agree that a global recession is likely. A close evaluation of some of the topics di...
On the surface, the correction has only started getting to the broad indices. Under the hood, the damage is deeper: 70% of S&P 500 stocks and 85% of NASDAQ stocks are below their 200-day moving averages. The Fed is raising rates and reducing liquidity by allowing assets on its bal...
Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...
Global consumer price inflation picked up from 5.3% y/y in December 2021 to an estimated 7.0% this May, a pace that will likely be maintained through September. Our May forecast already incorporates a mild quarter-on-quarter contraction in eurozone real GDP in the second quarter and d...
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2024-04-24 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 09:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-06 07:30:00 ET Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be excellent tools for achieving diversification or gaining exposure to a particular theme or industry. Chock-full of big tech-orientated companies, the Vanguard Growth ETF (NYSEMKT: VUG) is up a staggering 37.4% over the p...