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2023-06-13 05:30:00 ET Summary The annual Russell Reconstitution has caused many small-cap stocks to surge, and institutional buying pressure is anticipated to filter down from the eight largest NASDAQ companies that have been hogging most of the money. Rising crude oil output in ...
2023-04-20 13:09:00 ET Summary We see that the 10s/2s has been inverted since roughly July 2022, while the 10s/3mo (historically the more accurate indicator of recessions) inverted in October. The consensus is that 2023 will witness a decline in corporate earnings as economic acti...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
2023-03-15 23:05:00 ET Summary After more than 12 long years, the stage may finally be set for an extended upswing in small-caps. When leadership concentration broke down in previous cycles, we saw multiyear periods where small caps outperformed large caps. In the current cycl...
2023-03-08 08:49:00 ET Summary Stocks, bonds and key commodity prices broadly fell in February as investors revised up expectations for policy rate peaks amid surprisingly resilient inflation and global economic data. Of the four largest emerging markets, only Taiwan continued to ...
Summary For the month of February, the S&P 500 Total Return Index ended down -2.4%. What disrupted the January rally? During the month, we received some affirming data that the economy may be on firmer footing than economists previously thought. But markets are worried that such str...
Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research takes time to define periods of economic expansion and contraction - and they do so in hindsight; equity markets are not trading based on these characterizations. The low degree of difference between the S&P 500 Index and the WisdomTr...
Summary When the market peaked in January 2022, everyone was exceedingly bullish, and no one was looking for a 20% decline. Retail investors have sharply increased their equity allocations over the last couple of months, dropping their cash holdings sharply. From a contrarian viewpo...
Summary AIER’s Everyday Price rose 0.93 percent in January, following a decline of 1.3 percent in December 2022. On Friday, February 10, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics updated the weights of the consumer price index constituents to reflect changes in consumption activity. ...
Summary Inflation was hot in January. This is putting the Fed on a path to raise rates well above 5% in 2023. The equity market appears to have wrong on disinflation. To no surprise, CPI proved to be hot in January on a month-over-month basis, rising by 0.5%, in line with expe...
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2024-07-07 07:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-25 21:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 23:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...